W as of Nov 2 · 16:33 ET

WNYSERetail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

Wayfair Inc. · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 4 · before openconfirmedQ3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±9.9%implied · report alone

104.45127.37

straddle ±11.0%

spot 115.91exp Nov 6ATM strike 116ATM straddle 14.98IV 117%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

—≥ implied

Nov 1 '24—▼−6.26%—

Feb 20 '25—▼−0.58%—

May 1 '25—▲+3.55%—

Aug 4 '25—▲+12.66%—

Q3 FY25—▲+23.22%—

Feb 19 '26—▼−13.02%—

Q1 FY26—▼−12.75%—

Q2 FY26—▲+29.97%—

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26—▲+29.97%—

Q1 FY26—▼−12.75%—

Feb '26—▼−13.02%—

Q3 FY25—▲+23.22%—

Aug '25—▲+12.66%—

May '25—▲+3.55%—

2 older reports

Feb '25—▼−0.58%—

Nov '24—▼−6.26%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · confirmed

Bull2

7disclosed supplier and customer tiesSEC filings

465managers reporting a position13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

40managers holding most of reported value13F · Jun 30 '26

9 of 23largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Oct 5 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

W report session

Suppliers 4

GFFGriffon×0.23 FDXFedEx×0.16 GOOGLGoogle×0.13 MSFTBing×0.11

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±12.0% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.