How often does Vertex move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

VERXNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Vertex, Inc. (VERX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

17.07

−0.52 · −2.96%

post 17.07 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open17.34Volume5.0MMkt cap$2.9BEPS-0.58

Day16.56 – 17.4756%52-wk10.21 – 20.8664%

VERX

Vertex, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Next report

Feb 10

before open · in 96 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+10.49%

vs ±12.3% implied · ×0.85

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 4 '26 · confirmedthin chain

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dCRSP · supplierCRISPR Therapeutics posts net loss of $111,437 thousand; revenue $12,669 thousand
8dKYMR · supplierKymera reports Q3 net loss of $131,999 thousand, revenue $0, cash $1,646 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.56%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

226 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

VERX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Vertex (VERX) is expected to report on Feb 10 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.6%
avg realized: ±10.0%

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±9.1%▼−3.26%×0.36

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±11.2%▼−18.05%×1.62

Oct 21 '25Oct 21 '25confirmed±15.5%▲+1.13%×0.07

Nov 3 '25Nov 3 '25confirmed±13.5%▼−9.65%×0.71

Feb 11 '26Feb 11 '26confirmed±17.1%▼−13.78%×0.81

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±13.6%▲+15.88%×1.16

Q2 FY26Aug 3 '26confirmed±16.4%▼−7.54%×0.46

Nov 4 '26Nov 4 '26confirmed±12.3%thin chain▲+10.49%×0.85

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Nov '26±12.3%▲+10.49%×0.85

Q2 FY26±16.4%▼−7.54%×0.46

Q1 FY26±13.6%▲+15.88%×1.16

Feb '26±17.1%▼−13.78%×0.81

Nov '25±13.5%▼−9.65%×0.71

Oct '25±15.5%▲+1.13%×0.07

2 older reports

Aug '25±11.2%▼−18.05%×1.62

May '25±9.1%▼−3.26%×0.36

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.39OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

630%Nov 2014d0.44142+1%0.44

521−7%Dec 1842d0.291,7890%0.29

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

276+4%Mar 19133d7010%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d630%142+1%0.44

Dec 1842d521−7%1,7890%0.29

report · Feb 10 · before open · est.

Mar 19133d276+4%7010%0.39

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−21.87%as filednet margin · revenue +4.56% QoQ · +11.02% YoY

Revenue$213M+4.56%

Gross profit$140M65.74%+6.79%

Operating income$314,0000.15%+107.07%

Pre-tax income$656,000+116.00%

Net income−$47M−21.87%−615.68%

Cost of revenue$73M+0.54%

Operating expenses$140M+3.06%

Tax$47M+459.83%

Other income$342,000−0.58%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.46· ±3.3% vs ±2.3% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.3%3 of 11×1.46

NFPjobs report±3.2%4 of 10×1.44

GDPgross domestic product±2.6%10 of 20×1.15

FOMCrate decision±2.2%11 of 24×0.99

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.1%12 of 20×0.93

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%7 of 12×0.83

CPIconsumer prices±1.7%4 of 11×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.58 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	-0.58	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 3 '26 · confirmed	0.12	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	-0.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod