How often does Tootsie Roll Industries move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TRNYSESugar & Confectionery Products

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc (TR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

38.19

+0.11 · +0.30%

Regular session10:39 ET

Open38.08Volume256,830Mkt cap$2.9BP/E28.93EPS1.32Div yield0.95%

Day38.08 – 38.18100%52-wk33.68 – 44.8440%

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

in 99 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.17%

vs ±6.1% implied · ×0.36

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmedthin chain

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−12.49%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

231 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

TR weight · VIG

N-PORTJul 31 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) is expected to report on Feb 11 (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.6%
avg realized: ±2.9%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+1.90%×0.32

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±3.5%▼−2.09%×0.60

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±4.8%▲+1.81%×0.37

Q3 FY25Oct 23 '25confirmed±6.2%▼−6.78%×1.10

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±5.7%▲+2.92%×0.51

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+1.82%×0.32

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±6.7%▼−3.81%×0.57

Oct 22 '26Oct 22 '26confirmed±6.1%thin chain▲+2.17%×0.36

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±6.1%▲+2.17%×0.36

Q2 FY26±6.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 close

1.00OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

43+79%Nov 2016d0.15287+40%0.15

98+7%Dec 1844d0.21469+19%0.21

report · Feb 11 · est.

110%Mar 19135d110%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d43+79%287+40%0.15

Dec 1844d98+7%469+19%0.21

report · Feb 11 · est.

Mar 19135d110%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

8.64%as filednet margin · revenue +1.77% QoQ · −0.56% YoY

Revenue$154M+1.77%

Gross profit$53M34.13%+2.60%

Operating income−$2M−1.05%−106.97%

Pre-tax income$18M−22.49%

Net income$13M8.64%−24.40%

Cost of revenue$102M+1.34%

Operating expenses$54M+93.18%

Tax$5M−16.81%

Other income$20M+6182.91%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.10· ±1.3% vs ±1.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%6 of 10×1.10

PPIproducer prices±1.2%5 of 10×0.99

FOMCrate decision±1.1%12 of 24×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%6 of 12×0.89

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%10 of 19×0.83

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%7 of 19×0.82

NFPjobs report±0.7%5 of 10×0.60

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.18 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.18	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	0.24	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 23 '25 · confirmed	0.49	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod