What move does the options market price into Tutor Perini's report?

Implied ±11.8%, either direction.

How often does Tutor Perini move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TPCNYSEGeneral Bldg Contractors - Nonresidential Bldgs

Tutor Perini Corp (TPC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

82.71

−0.14 · −0.18%

Regular session12:13 ET

Open82.76Volume541,827Mkt cap$4.4BP/E35.04EPS2.36Div yield0.33%

Day81.17 – 83.6861%52-wk57.70 – 102.2056%

TPC

Tutor Perini Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±11.8%implied · straddle

73.0792.63

spot 82.85exp Nov 20ATM strike 85ATM straddle 11.50IV 79%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+13.27%

vs ±13.4% implied · ×0.99

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+12.91%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

336 managers

Top fund weight

0.12%

TPC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tutor Perini (TPC) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.2%
avg realized: ±16.5%

Nov 6 '24Nov 6 '24confirmed±15.0%▲+9.78%×0.65

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±14.5%▲+34.38%×2.38

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±13.6%▲+26.41%×1.94

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±12.6%▲+16.48%×1.31

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±12.8%▼−0.77%×0.06

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±11.8%▼−15.67%×1.32

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±12.0%▼−15.49%×1.29

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±13.4%▲+13.27%×0.99

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.4%▲+13.27%×0.99

May '26±12.0%▼−15.49%×1.29

Q1 FY26±11.8%▼−15.67%×1.32

Nov '25±12.8%▼−0.77%×0.06

Aug '25±12.6%▲+16.48%×1.31

May '25±13.6%▲+26.41%×1.94

2 older reports

Feb '25±14.5%▲+34.38%×2.38

Nov '24±15.0%▲+9.78%×0.65

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.52OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

147+1%Nov 2016d281+10%

1,9200%Dec 1844d0.652,9720%0.65

8660%Jan 1572d0.332,6260%0.33

99−1%Apr 16163d1.0892+3%1.08

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d147+1%281+10%0.52

Dec 1844d1,9200%2,9720%0.65

Jan 1572d8660%2,6260%0.33

Apr 16163d99−1%92+3%1.08

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±11.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

5.14%as filednet margin · revenue +17.82% QoQ · +19.17% YoY

Revenue

$1.6B+17.82% QoQ

Gross profit

$211M+36.63% QoQ

12.91% margin

Operating income

$118M+98.94% QoQ

7.19% margin

Pre-tax income

$115M+103.23% QoQ

Net income

$84M+112.68% QoQ

5.14% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+15.46% QoQ

Operating expenses

$94M−2.00% QoQ

Other expense

$3M

Tax

$31M+81.24% QoQ

Revenue$1.6B+17.82%

Gross profit

$211M+36.63%

12.91% margin

Operating income

$118M+98.94%

7.19% margin

Pre-tax income

$115M+103.23%

Net income

$84M+112.68%

5.14% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.4B+15.46%

Operating expenses

$94M−2.00%

Other expense

$3M

Tax$31M+81.24%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.70· ±4.1% vs ±2.4% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.1%9 of 19×1.70

PPIproducer prices±3.6%4 of 10×1.50

GDPgross domestic product±2.7%9 of 19×1.13

FOMCrate decision±2.3%16 of 24×0.95

NFPjobs report±2.2%7 of 10×0.93

CPIconsumer prices±2.2%5 of 10×0.91

CPROFcorporate profits±1.8%5 of 12×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.23 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.23	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	0.48	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod