How often does Starling Oncology move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TOINasdaqServices-Offices & Clinics of Doctors of Medicine

Starling Oncology, Inc. (TOI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

6.67

−0.28 · −3.96%

Regular session12:38 ET

Open6.85Volume1.0MMkt cap$646.1MEPS-0.28

Day6.66 – 7.001%52-wk2.32 – 7.1390%

TOI

Oncology Institute, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 7 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+28.46%

vs ±13.5% implied · ×2.11

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dUNH · customerUnitedHealth Group Q3 net earnings $4,300 million, EPS $4.56; nine-month net $16,451 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.35%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

120 managers

Top fund weight

—

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Starling Oncology (TOI) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±24.5%
avg realized: ±14.3%

Mar 24 '25Mar 24 '25confirmed—▲+24.47%—

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed—▲+28.27%—

Aug 13 '25Aug 13 '25confirmed±16.2%▼−10.49%×0.65

Q3 FY25Nov 13 '25confirmed±13.7%▲+28.90%×2.11

Jan 12 '26Jan 12 '26confirmed±9.3%▼−7.89%×0.85

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±75.8%▲+8.40%×0.11

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±18.3%▼−1.72%×0.09

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±13.5%▲+28.46%×2.11

quarterimplied−80%0+80%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.5%▲+28.46%×2.11

May '26±18.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 close

—OI · 2 expiries · Aug 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Nov 2015d0—

0—Feb 19106d—0——

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d0—0——

Feb 19106d0—0——

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−6.07%as filednet margin · revenue +9.39% QoQ · +34.62% YoY

Revenue$161M+9.39%

Pre-tax income−$10M−292.82%

Net income−$10M−6.07%−292.82%

Tax$0—

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.06· ±5.0% vs ±4.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.0%4 of 10×1.06

GDPgross domestic product±4.6%11 of 19×0.98

FOMCrate decision±4.1%16 of 24×0.89

PPIproducer prices±3.9%4 of 10×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.1%8 of 19×0.67

CPROFcorporate profits±3.1%7 of 12×0.66

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%6 of 10×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±4.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.08 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.08	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 13 '25 · confirmed	-0.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod