How often does Tompkins Financial move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TMPNYSEState Commercial Banks

Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

100.69

pre 100.06 +0.33%

Pre-market05:48 ETdelayed

Open100.06Volume113,048Mkt cap$1.4BP/E7.91EPS12.65Div yield2.70%

Day100.06 – 100.0650%52-wk62.48 – 104.1890%

TMP

Tompkins Financial Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 29

before open · in 86 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.42%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 23 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.37%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

219 managers

Top fund weight

0.04%

TMP weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tompkins Financial (TMP) is expected to report on Jan 29 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.6%
avg realized: ±3.5%

Jan 31 '25Jan 31 '25confirmed±7.7%▲+3.95%×0.51

Apr 25 '25Apr 25 '25confirmed±7.8%▼−0.72%×0.09

Jul 25 '25Jul 25 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+1.52%×0.26

Oct 24 '25Oct 24 '25confirmed±6.9%▲+1.72%×0.25

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±6.1%▲+4.42%×0.73

Q1 FY26Apr 24 '26confirmed±5.8%▼−2.82%×0.49

Q2 FY26Jul 24 '26confirmed±6.1%▲+9.14%×1.49

Q3 FY26Oct 23 '26confirmed—▲+0.42%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+0.42%—

Q2 FY26±6.1%▲+9.14%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

3.40OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

80%Nov 2016d1.3360%1.33

580%Dec 1844d2.5223+5%2.52

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

170%Mar 19135d50%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d80%60%1.33

Dec 1844d580%23+5%2.52

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d170%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

31.89%as filednet margin · revenue +3.14% QoQ · +2.76% YoY

Revenue$90M+3.14%

Pre-tax income$38M−2.06%

Net income$29M31.89%−2.22%

Tax$9M−1.56%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

No trades yet today.

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.68· ±2.6% vs ±1.5% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.6%10 of 24×1.68

PPIproducer prices±1.8%6 of 10×1.17

NFPjobs report±1.2%5 of 10×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.58

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%8 of 19×0.56

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.8%8 of 19×0.52

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%4 of 10×0.43

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 23 '26 · confirmed	2.00	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 24 '26 · confirmed	2.04	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 24 '26 · confirmed	1.82	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod