How often does Taylor Morrison Home move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TMHCNYSEOperative Builders

Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

72.45

−0.02 · −0.02%

Regular session16:19 ET

Open72.49Volume9.2MMkt cap$6.8BP/E10.62EPS6.82

Day72.45 – 72.495%52-wk54.15 – 72.50100%

TMHC

Taylor Morrison Home Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

in 112 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.94%

vs ±8.2% implied · ×0.60

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Apr 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.28%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

433 managers

Top fund weight

0.21%

TMHC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is expected to report on Feb 24 (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.0%
avg realized: ±2.8%

Jul 24 '24Jul 24 '24confirmed±6.2%▼−0.53%×0.09

Oct 23 '24Oct 23 '24confirmed±7.9%▲+3.64%×0.46

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±4.9%▲+3.30%×0.67

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±8.6%▼−2.02%×0.23

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±6.2%▼−3.76%×0.61

Q3 FY25Oct 22 '25confirmed±7.5%▼−3.24%×0.43

Q4 FY25Feb 11 '26confirmed±6.5%▼−1.07%×0.16

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±8.2%▲+4.94%×0.60

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q1 FY26±8.2%▲+4.94%×0.60

Q4 FY25±6.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Jul 30 close

0.44OI · 1 expiry · Jul 30 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,306—Jan 1572d2,954—

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1572d1,306—2,954—0.44

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY26

7.24%as filednet margin · revenue −33.94% QoQ · −26.84% YoY

Revenue

$1.4B−33.94% QoQ

Gross profit

$291M−37.20% QoQ

20.95% margin

Operating income

$142M−47.13% QoQ

10.22% margin

Pre-tax income

$131M−42.64% QoQ

Net income

$100M−43.29% QoQ

7.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B−33.01% QoQ

Operating expenses

$149M−23.52% QoQ

Marketing $90M

SG&A $59M

Other expense

$11M

Tax

$30M−40.35% QoQ

Revenue$1.4B−33.94%

Gross profit

$291M−37.20%

20.95% margin

Operating income

$142M−47.13%

10.22% margin

Pre-tax income

$131M−42.64%

Net income

$100M−43.29%

7.24% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B−33.01%

Operating expenses

$149M−23.52%

Marketing $90M

SG&A $59M

Other expense

$11M

Tax$30M−40.35%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Mar 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.25· ±1.9% vs ±1.5% · 22 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.9%11 of 22×1.25

NFPjobs report±1.7%4 of 7×1.15

PPIproducer prices±1.4%2 of 8×0.96

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%4 of 8×0.91

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%9 of 16×0.71

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%9 of 16×0.70

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%5 of 10×0.65

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.01 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	1.01	—
Q4 FY25	Feb 11 '26 · confirmed	1.77	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 22 '25 · confirmed	2.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod