What move does the options market price into TMC the metals's report?

Implied ±10.6%, either direction.

TMCNasdaqMetal Mining

TMC the metals Co Inc. (TMC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.32

0.00 · +0.22%

post 2.31 −0.22%

After hours16:51 ETdelayed

Open2.32Volume4.7MMkt cap$1.0BP/E3.04EPS0.76

Day2.31 – 2.405%52-wk2.25 – 10.051%

TMC

TMC the metals Co Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.6%implied · report alone

2.062.56

straddle ±14.5%

spot 2.31exp Nov 13ATM strike 2.5ATM straddle 0.39IV 121%

Nov 4 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 8 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−9.07%

vs ±13.0% implied · ×0.70

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

−14.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

211 managers

Top fund weight

—

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

TMC the metals (TMC) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 13 '26confirmed±13.0%▼−9.07%×0.70

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.0%▼−9.07%×0.70

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 20 close

0.36OI · 7 expiries · Oct 20 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

357+1%Nov 62d0.49736+6%0.49

report · Nov 12 · after close · est.

3220%Nov 139d899+29%

13,5600%Nov 2016d0.2456,8890%0.24

0—Nov 2723d—0——

3 later expiries

22—Dec 1844d0.07294—0.07

14,3130%Jan 1572d0.10

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d357+1%736+6%0.49

report · Nov 12 · after close · est.

Nov 139d3220%899+29%0.36

Nov 2016d13,5600%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No linked exposure.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.16· ±4.9% vs ±4.2% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±4.9%9 of 19×1.16

PPIproducer prices±4.6%3 of 10×1.09

FOMCrate decision±4.5%7 of 24×1.05

NFPjobs report±4.5%5 of 10×1.05

CPROFcorporate profits±4.0%6 of 12×0.95

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.2%10 of 19×0.75

CPIconsumer prices±2.5%3 of 10×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±4.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.14 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 13 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.05	—
Q3 FY25	—	0.46	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod