How often does Tiptree move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TIPTNasdaqFire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Tiptree Inc. (TIPT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

17.68

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open17.58Volume320,609Mkt cap$644.4MP/E1.61EPS11.01Div yield1.36%

Day17.58 – 17.7657%52-wk15.38 – 19.0762%

TIPT

Tiptree Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 8

before open · in 124 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.06%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.17%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

141 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

TIPT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tiptree (TIPT) is expected to report on Mar 8 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.1%
avg realized: ±2.8%

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±13.7%▲+4.98%×0.36

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±10.2%▼−7.26%×0.71

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±10.8%▼−0.91%×0.08

Oct 31 '25Oct 31 '25confirmed±12.6%▲+0.74%×0.06

Q1 FY26Mar 6 '26confirmed±10.3%▲+2.78%×0.27

Apr 30 '26Apr 30 '26confirmed±11.5%▼−0.70%×0.06

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±8.8%▲+2.27%×0.26

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed—▲+0.06%—

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+0.06%—

Q2 FY26±8.8%+2.27%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.11OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

400%Nov 2016d—0——

1,7300%Dec 1844d6.732570%6.73

report · Mar 8 · before open · est.

10%Mar 19135d9−10%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d400%0——

Dec 1844d1,7300%2570%6.73

report · Mar 8 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d1

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY25

2.95%as filednet margin · revenue +38984.88% QoQ · +8.81% YoY

Revenue$530M+38984.88%

Pre-tax income$38M+407.22%

Net income$16M2.95%−17.67%

Tax$23M+1225.42%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '25 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.61· ±2.4% vs ±1.5% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±2.4%5 of 12×1.61

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%7 of 19×1.53

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%7 of 19×1.28

FOMCrate decision±1.7%11 of 24×1.18

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%3 of 10×0.80

NFPjobs report±1.1%7 of 10×0.74

PPIproducer prices±1.1%4 of 10×0.71

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.14 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	10.30	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 6 '26 · confirmed	0.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod