How often does Gentherm move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

THRMNasdaqMotor Vehicle Parts & Accessories

Gentherm Inc (THRM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

30.37

Closed18:14 ET

Open31.16Volume1.4MMkt cap$1.6BP/E179.86Div yield6.69%

Day30.37 – 32.030%52-wk25.31 – 45.3725%

THRM

Gentherm Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 110 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−8.05%

vs ±11.9% implied · ×0.68

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

16.00%

of THRM revenue · Lear

customerTHRM 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.26%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

255 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

THRM weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Gentherm (THRM) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.0%
avg realized: ±4.1%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±12.9%▲+1.64%×0.13

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−7.75%×1.00

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±17.8%▼−0.32%×0.02

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±14.7%▲+2.72%×0.19

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±10.4%▲+8.18%×0.79

Feb 19 '26Feb 19 '26confirmed±13.9%▲+1.29%×0.09

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±14.5%▲+2.99%×0.21

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±11.9%▼−8.05%×0.68

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±11.9%▼−8.05%×0.68

Q1 FY26±14.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.17OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

459+1%Nov 2020d1.52302+177%1.52

1,0220%Dec 1848d0.176,094−5%0.17

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

160%Mar 19139d92+16%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d459+1%302+177%1.52

Dec 1848d1,0220%6,094−5%0.17

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

Mar 19139d160%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−0.64%as filednet margin · revenue −2.66% QoQ · +4.71% YoY

Revenue$405M−2.66%

Gross profit$94M23.28%−2.20%

Operating income$14M3.55%+34.37%

Pre-tax income$11M+48.01%

Net income−$3M−0.64%−158.60%

Cost of revenue$311M−2.80%

Operating expenses$80M−6.76%

Tax$13M+362.47%

Other expense−$4M−4.70%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.52· ±2.7% vs ±1.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.7%4 of 10×1.52

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%9 of 19×1.13

GDPgross domestic product±1.9%9 of 19×1.07

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×1.03

NFPjobs report±1.8%4 of 10×1.03

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%6 of 12×0.76

CPIconsumer prices±1.0%5 of 10×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.08 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	-0.08	—
Q2 FY26	—	0.14	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod