TGT as of Oct 31 · 02:53 ET

TGTNYSERetail-Variety Stores

Target Corp · Brief

Next report

18 days

Nov 18 · before openest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±7.4%implied · report alone

142.88165.88

straddle ±8.5%

spot 154.38exp Nov 20ATM strike 155ATM straddle 15.45IV 52%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.7%
avg realized: ±4.3%

Mar 4 '25±7.4%▼−3.00%×0.41

May 21 '25±7.8%▼−5.21%×0.67

Aug 20 '25±8.0%▼−6.33%×0.79

Q3 FY25±8.2%▼−2.77%×0.34

Feb 11 '26±2.3%▲+2.25%×0.99

Mar 3 '26±7.1%▲+6.74%×0.95

Q1 FY26±6.7%▼−3.86%×0.57

Q2 FY26±6.0%▲+4.28%×0.71

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.0%▲+4.28%×0.71

Q1 FY26±6.7%▼−3.86%×0.57

Mar '26±7.1%▲+6.74%×0.95

Feb '26±2.3%▲+2.25%×0.99

Q3 FY25±8.2%▼−2.77%×0.34

Aug '25±8.0%▼−6.33%×0.79

2 older reports

May '25±7.8%▼−5.21%×0.67

Mar '25±7.4%▼−3.00%×0.41

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 18 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

3customers disclosing TGT as a supplierSEC filings

1,904managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 4

11tracked funds holding TGTN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

9 of 24of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TGT report session

Suppliers 4

HELEHelen of Troy×0.62 CRICarters×0.61 CRCTCricut×0.37 GFFGriffon×0.30

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

No changes.

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.