How often does Tredegar move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TGNYSERolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals

Tredegar Corp (TG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

7.27

−0.26 · −3.45%

post 7.27 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open7.35Volume165,178Mkt cap$251.9MP/E7.57EPS0.96

Day7.27 – 7.540%52-wk6.25 – 10.5324%

Tredegar Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 6

before open · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+14.71%

vs ±10.3% implied · ×1.43

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 7 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.33%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

147 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

TG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tredegar (TG) is expected to report on Nov 6 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.4%
avg realized: ±9.9%

Nov 8 '24Nov 8 '24confirmed±17.1%▼−20.27%×1.19

Mar 12 '25Mar 12 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+12.24%×1.15

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±11.3%▲+1.47%×0.13

Aug 8 '25Aug 8 '25confirmed±8.2%▼−11.56%×1.42

Q3 FY25Nov 7 '25confirmed±19.1%▲+9.22%×0.48

Q1 FY26Mar 11 '26confirmed±11.0%▼−7.97%×0.73

May 8 '26May 8 '26confirmed±11.6%▲+1.47%×0.13

Q2 FY26Aug 7 '26confirmed±10.3%▲+14.71%×1.43

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±10.3%▲+14.71%×1.43

May '26±11.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 29 close

0.10OI · 1 expiry · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

12—Dec 1845d122+61%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1845d12—122+61%0.10

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

2.78%as filednet margin · revenue +15.95% QoQ · +20.72% YoY

Revenue

$216M+15.95% QoQ

Gross profit

$29M+23.35% QoQ

13.40% margin

Operating income

$8M+27.83% QoQ

3.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M+27.47% QoQ

Net income

$6M+6.29% QoQ

2.78% margin

Cost of revenue

$187M+14.88% QoQ

Operating expenses

$21M+21.67% QoQ

SG&A $20M

R&D $178,000

Other operating $474,000

Other expense

$425,000

Tax

$2M+67.73% QoQ

Revenue$216M+15.95%

Gross profit

$29M+23.35%

13.40% margin

Operating income

$8M+27.83%

3.79% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M+27.47%

Net income

$6M+6.29%

2.78% margin

Cost of revenue

$187M+14.88%

Operating expenses

$21M+21.67%

SG&A $20M

R&D $178,000

Other operating $474,000

Other expense

$425,000

Tax$2M+67.73%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.61· ±3.3% vs ±2.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±3.3%2 of 10×1.61

NFPjobs report±2.8%5 of 10×1.39

FOMCrate decision±2.5%10 of 24×1.23

PPIproducer prices±2.2%4 of 10×1.09

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%8 of 19×0.73

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%5 of 12×0.68

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%8 of 19×0.68

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.17 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 7 '26 · confirmed	0.17	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 11 '26 · confirmed	0.17	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 7 '25 · confirmed	0.20	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod