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TFIN as of Nov 1 · 17:26 ET
TFINNYSEState Commercial Banks

Triumph Financial, Inc. · Brief

Next report

85 days

Jan 25 · after closeest.Q4 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
2 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±7.4%
avg realized
±5.3%
Jan 22 '25±7.5%▼−14.25%×1.90
Apr 16 '25±6.2%▼−2.66%×0.43
Jul 16 '25±5.8%▼−2.50%×0.43
Oct 15 '25±7.7%▲+7.10%×0.92
Jan 26 '26±6.6%▼−7.20%×1.10
Q1 FY26±7.7%▼−6.26%×0.82
Q2 FY26±8.6%▲+2.39%×0.28
Q3 FY26±9.1%▲+0.35%×0.04
quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×
Q3 FY26±9.1%▲+0.35%×0.04
Q2 FY26±8.6%▲+2.39%×0.28
Q1 FY26±7.7%▼−6.26%×0.82
Jan '26±6.6%▼−7.20%×1.10
Oct '25±7.7%▲+7.10%×0.92
Jul '25±5.8%▼−2.50%×0.43
2 older reports
Apr '25±6.2%▼−2.66%×0.43
Jan '25±7.5%▼−14.25%×1.90
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Jan 25 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

4disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings
231managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

12 of 22largest reporting managers that cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
6 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
AI captions · Oct 26 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TFIN report session

Suppliers 1

AMZNAmazon Web Services×0.26
× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±9.1% into Oct 21 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source
Oct 14impliedImplied move: ±10.3% into Oct 19 earnings (Oct 14 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.