TDG as of Oct 31 · 11:09 ET

TDGNYSEAircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC

TransDigm Group Inc · Brief

Next report

11 days

Nov 11 · before openest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±4.5%implied · report alone

1,094.871,198.75

straddle ±6.8%

spot 1,146.81exp Nov 20ATM strike 1150ATM straddle 91.85IV 42%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.1%
avg realized: ±5.1%

Nov 7 '24—▼−3.85%—

Feb 4 '25±7.0%▼−3.34%×0.48

May 6 '25±7.0%▼−5.48%×0.79

Aug 5 '25±3.8%▼−11.94%×3.12

Nov 12 '25±5.5%▲+1.08%×0.20

Q1 FY26±4.9%▼−9.31%×1.89

Q2 FY26±8.1%▲+3.62%×0.45

Q3 FY26±6.2%▼−0.82%×0.13

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±6.2%▼−0.82%×0.13

Q2 FY26±8.1%▲+3.62%×0.45

Q1 FY26±4.9%▼−9.31%×1.89

Nov '25±5.5%▲+1.08%×0.20

Aug '25±3.8%▼−11.94%×3.12

May '25±7.0%▼−5.48%×0.79

2 older reports

Feb '25±7.0%▼−3.34%×0.48

Nov '24—▼−3.85%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 11 report · est.

Bull2 of 3

1,145managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

11tracked funds holding TDGN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2 of 4

40.00%of revenue from the largest disclosed customer, top ten customersSEC filings

10 of 22of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

TDG report session

Suppliers 1

DCODucommun×0.39

Customers 1

BABoeing×0.46

× = co-movement · max 500dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 28impliedImplied move: ±6.5% into Nov 11 earnings (Oct 28 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.