How often does Tactile Systems Technology move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TCMDNasdaqSurgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Tactile Systems Technology Inc (TCMD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

27.67

+2.89 · +11.65%

post 27.67 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open25.18Volume861,545Mkt cap$626.4MP/E26.30

Day25.18 – 28.4875%52-wk20.53 – 37.7741%

TCMD

Tactile Systems Technology Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 16

after close · in 103 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+8.35%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 2 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

24.00%

of TCMD revenue · Medicare

customerTCMD 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.57%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

180 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

TCMD weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD) is expected to report on Feb 16 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.0%
avg realized: ±21.7%

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±12.8%▼−13.27%×1.04

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±11.5%▼−28.98%×2.51

Aug 4 '25Aug 4 '25confirmed±12.2%▲+26.79%×2.20

Q3 FY25Nov 3 '25confirmed±11.7%▲+40.65%×3.48

Feb 17 '26Feb 17 '26confirmed±19.1%▲+17.83%×0.93

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±16.1%▲+7.22%×0.45

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±14.5%▼−17.12%×1.18

Q3 FY26Nov 2 '26confirmed—▲+8.35%—

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+8.35%—

Q2 FY26±14.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.33OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

38−17%Nov 2015d114+6%

25+4%Jan 1571d0.13189+9%0.13

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d38−17%114+6%0.33

Jan 1571d25+4%189+9%0.13

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.79%as filednet margin · revenue +7.19% QoQ · +7.12% YoY

Revenue

$92M+7.19% QoQ

Gross profit

$70M+7.87% QoQ

76.74% margin

Operating income

$10M+40.51% QoQ

10.44% margin

Pre-tax income

$10M+37.50% QoQ

Net income

$7M−8.03% QoQ

7.79% margin

Cost of revenue

$21M+5.01% QoQ

Operating expenses

$61M+4.06% QoQ

Marketing $33M

SG&A $25M

R&D $3M

Other operating $693,000

Tax

$3M+812.47% QoQ

Other income

$540,000−0.37% QoQ

Revenue$92M+7.19%

Gross profit

$70M+7.87%

76.74% margin

Operating income

$10M+40.51%

10.44% margin

Pre-tax income

$10M+37.50%

Net income

$7M−8.03%

7.79% margin

Cost of revenue

$21M+5.01%

Operating expenses

$61M+4.06%

Marketing $33M

SG&A $25M

R&D $3M

Other income$540,000−0.37%

Tax$3M+812.47%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.07· ±2.2% vs ±2.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.2%9 of 24×1.07

PPIproducer prices±1.9%6 of 10×0.89

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%10 of 19×0.81

NFPjobs report±1.5%5 of 10×0.71

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%9 of 19×0.68

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%3 of 10×0.66

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%5 of 12×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS — · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 2 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 3 '25 · confirmed

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod