How often does Molson Coors Beverage move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TAPNYSEMalt Beverages

Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

42.25

−0.89 · −2.06%

post 42.25 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open41.65Volume5.0MMkt cap$7.6BEPS-11.45Div yield4.43%

Day41.55 – 43.2342%52-wk35.52 – 53.0039%

TAP

Molson Coors Beverage Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

after close · in 104 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 5

before open

confirmedQ3 FY26Nov 4 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

51dHTLD · supplierHeartland Express, Inc. Declares Regular Quarterly Dividend

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+11.88%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

620 managers

Top fund weight

0.41%

TAP weight · XLP

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Molson Coors Beverage (TAP) is expected to report on Feb 17 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.7%
avg realized: ±3.0%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±4.5%▲+0.37%×0.08

Feb 13 '25Feb 13 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+9.52%×1.81

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±5.0%▼−4.54%×0.90

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+1.25%×0.23

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±6.7%▲+1.04%×0.16

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±5.8%▼−4.86%×0.84

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+0.78%×0.13

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±6.5%▲+1.29%×0.20

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.5%▲+1.29%×0.20

Q1 FY26±6.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.65OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,951+1%Nov 2015d0.503,8950%0.50

2,362+565%Dec 1843d2.331,012+4%2.33

7,032−2%Jan 1571d1.395,0490%1.39

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

7870%Apr 16162d1,208+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d1,951+1%3,8950%0.50

Dec 1843d2,362+565%1,012+4%2.33

Jan 1571d7,032−2%5,0490%1.39

report · Feb 17 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.79%as filednet margin · revenue −5.53% QoQ · −2.28% YoY

Revenue

$3.4B−5.53% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.0B−3.09% QoQ

30.26% margin

Operating income

$391M+17.69% QoQ

11.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$342M+20.88% QoQ

Net income

$265M+19.68% QoQ

7.79% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.4B−6.56% QoQ

Operating expenses

$640M−12.52% QoQ

SG&A $634M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$48M

Tax

$77M+25.20% QoQ

Revenue$3.4B−5.53%

Gross profit

$1.0B−3.09%

30.26% margin

Operating income

$391M+17.69%

11.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$342M+20.88%

Net income

$265M+19.68%

7.79% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.4B−6.56%

Operating expenses

$640M−12.52%

SG&A $634M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$48M

Tax$77M+25.20%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.09· ±1.3% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.3%6 of 24×1.09

NFPjobs report±1.3%7 of 10×1.07

PPIproducer prices±1.3%8 of 11×1.06

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%6 of 12×1.01

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%9 of 20×0.99

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%5 of 11×0.96

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%10 of 20×0.79

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.45 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	1.45	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	1.23	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.80	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	-14.79	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod