How often does Seagate Technology move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

STXNasdaqComputer Storage Devices

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

637.51

−62.96 · −8.99%

post 648.20 +1.68%

Closed19:54 ET

Open661.00Volume5.8MMkt cap$148.0BP/E32.94EPS19.68Div yield0.46%

Day627.28 – 673.5345%52-wk227.27 – 1,143.2746%

STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 26

after close · in 87 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.51%

vs ±6.9% implied · ×0.65

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dAVGO · customerBroadcom provides up to $43 billion residual-value backstop for AI rack leases

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.27%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

1,963 managers

Top fund weight

3.28%

STX weight · IGPT

N-PORTJul 31 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Seagate Technology (STX) is expected to report on Jan 26 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.2%
avg realized: ±9.3%

Apr 29 '25Apr 29 '25confirmed±6.2%▲+11.56%×1.87

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±6.3%▼−3.45%×0.55

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+19.11%×2.24

Q2 FY26Jan 27 '26confirmed±9.6%▲+19.14%×2.00

Q3 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±9.7%▲+11.10%×1.14

Q4 FY26Jul 28 '26confirmed±11.8%▲+2.29%×0.19

Q1 FY27Oct 27 '26confirmed±6.9%▲+4.51%×0.65

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q1 FY27±6.9%▲+4.51%×0.65

Q4 FY26±11.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 close

1.68OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6 nearer expiries

6,015+28%Nov 66d0.946,373+39%0.94

3,798+20%Nov 1313d2.011,890+29%2.01

26,676+4%Nov 2020d0.9627,682+10%0.96

1,540+2%Nov 2727d1.57979+57%1.57

524—Dec 434d0.72725—0.72

0—Dec 1141d—0——

16,687+1%Dec 1848d1.1614,390+2%1.16

35,731+1%Jan 1576d1.4225,173+3%1.42

report · Jan 26 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

6 nearer expiries

Nov 66d6,015+28%6,373+39%0.94

Nov 1313d3,798+20%1,890+29%2.01

Nov 2020d26,676+4%27,682

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

41.60%as filednet margin · revenue +16.64% QoQ · +61.01% YoY

Revenue

$4.2B+16.64% QoQ

Gross profit

$2.4B+27.87% QoQ

57.34% margin

Operating income

$2.1B+32.39% QoQ

48.76% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.0B+31.69% QoQ

Net income

$1.8B+36.09% QoQ

41.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.8B+4.33% QoQ

Operating expenses

$367M+8.26% QoQ

R&D $200M

SG&A $159M

Other operating $4M

Other expense

$82M

Tax

$221M+4.74% QoQ

Revenue$4.2B+16.64%

Gross profit

$2.4B+27.87%

57.34% margin

Operating income

$2.1B+32.39%

48.76% margin

Pre-tax income

$2.0B+31.69%

Net income

$1.8B+36.09%

41.60% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.8B+4.33%

Operating expenses

$367M+8.26%

R&D $200M

SG&A $159M

Other operating $4M

Other expense

$82M

Tax$221M+4.74%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Oct 2 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.23· ±5.2% vs ±2.3% · 9 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.2%5 of 9×2.23

FOMCrate decision±4.0%17 of 24×1.73

PPIproducer prices±3.9%4 of 10×1.69

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.3%14 of 19×1.41

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%5 of 10×1.19

GDPgross domestic product±2.7%14 of 19×1.18

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%9 of 12×0.62

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±2.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 7.59 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Oct 27 '26 · confirmed	7.59	—
Q4 FY26	Jul 28 '26 · confirmed	5.60	—
Q3 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	3.27	—
Q2 FY26	Jan 27 '26 · confirmed	2.60	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod