How often does 1ST Source move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SRCENasdaqState Commercial Banks

1ST Source Corp (SRCE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

88.28

pre 88.28 −0.56%

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open88.53Volume116,915Mkt cap$2.1BP/E12.13EPS7.28Div yield1.91%

Day88.16 – 88.6027%52-wk57.77 – 90.7892%

SRCE

1ST Source Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 21

after close · in 78 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.13%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.94%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

205 managers

Top fund weight

0.05%

SRCE weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

1ST Source (SRCE) is expected to report on Jan 21 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.8%
avg realized: ±2.1%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±9.2%▼−0.03%×0.00

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±7.7%▲+3.16%×0.41

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±6.1%▼−1.76%×0.29

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±5.6%▲+3.63%×0.65

Jan 22 '26Jan 22 '26confirmed±7.5%▼−2.03%×0.27

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+0.96%×0.16

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+3.20%×0.55

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed—▲+0.13%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+0.13%—

Q2 FY26±5.8%▲+3.20%×0.55

Q1 FY26±5.8%▲+0.96%×0.16

Jan '26±7.5%▼−2.03%×0.27

Oct '25±5.6%▲+3.63%×0.65

Jul '25±6.1%▼−1.76%×0.29

2 older reports

Apr '25±7.7%▲+3.16%×0.41

Jan '25±9.2%▼−0.03%×0.00

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.37OI · 3 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

20%Nov 2016d0.2970%0.29

80%Dec 1844d0.47170%0.47

report · Jan 21 · after close · est.

70%Mar 19135d190%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d20%70%0.29

Dec 1844d80%170%0.47

report · Jan 21 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d70%190%0.37

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

41.19%as filednet margin · revenue +1.79% QoQ · +8.70% YoY

Revenue$120M+1.79%

Pre-tax income$64M+4.15%

Net income$50M41.19%+4.21%

Tax$15M+3.97%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.73· ±2.0% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.0%10 of 24×1.73

PPIproducer prices±1.2%7 of 10×1.01

NFPjobs report±0.9%4 of 10×0.80

GDPgross domestic product±0.7%10 of 19×0.58

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.7%8 of 19×0.57

CPROFcorporate profits±0.6%7 of 12×0.54

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%5 of 10×0.47

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	2.03	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	1.95	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	1.63	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod