How often does Snap-on move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SNANYSECutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Snap-on Inc (SNA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

362.05

−3.02 · −0.83%

post 362.05 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open364.86Volume335,148Mkt cap$18.7BP/E18.52EPS19.55Div yield2.70%

Day360.71 – 364.8632%52-wk312.34 – 420.4146%

SNA

Snap-on Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 4

before open · in 93 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.37%

vs ±5.1% implied · ×0.66

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.11%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,064 managers

Top fund weight

0.49%

SNA weight · SCHD

N-PORTAug 31 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Snap-on (SNA) is expected to report on Feb 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.0%
avg realized: ±4.4%

Feb 6 '25Feb 6 '25confirmed±4.8%▼−4.57%×0.95

Apr 17 '25Apr 17 '25confirmed±4.3%▼−8.00%×1.88

Jul 17 '25Jul 17 '25confirmed±4.3%▲+7.92%×1.84

Oct 16 '25Oct 16 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+3.48%×0.68

Feb 5 '26Feb 5 '26confirmed±4.5%▼−3.16%×0.70

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±5.8%▲+2.19%×0.38

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±5.9%▼−2.65%×0.45

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±5.1%▼−3.37%×0.66

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.1%▼−3.37%×0.66

Q2 FY26±5.9%▼−2.65%×0.45

Q1 FY26±5.8%▲+2.19%×0.38

Feb '26±4.5%▼−3.16%×0.70

Oct '25±5.2%▲+3.48%×0.68

Jul '25±4.3%▲+7.92%×1.84

2 older reports

Apr '25±4.3%▼−8.00%×1.88

Feb '25±4.8%▼−4.57%×0.95

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.41OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3,779+107%Nov 2017d5.82649−6%5.82

240+18%Dec 1845d0.55433+11%0.55

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

141+53%Mar 19136d340+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d3,779+107%649−6%5.82

Dec 1845d240+18%433+11%0.55

report · Feb 4 · before open · est.

Mar 19136d141+53%340+1%0.41

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

19.47%as filednet margin · revenue −3.93% QoQ · −0.74% YoY

Revenue

$1.3B−3.93% QoQ

Gross profit

$702M−4.45% QoQ

54.76% margin

Operating income

$316M−5.95% QoQ

24.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$319M−5.87% QoQ

Net income

$250M−6.24% QoQ

19.47% margin

Cost of revenue

$580M−3.30% QoQ

Operating expenses

$386M−3.19% QoQ

Tax

$70M−4.52% QoQ

Other income

$3M+3.57% QoQ

Revenue$1.3B−3.93%

Gross profit

$702M−4.45%

54.76% margin

Operating income

$316M−5.95%

24.67% margin

Pre-tax income

$319M−5.87%

Net income

$250M−6.24%

19.47% margin

Cost of revenue

$580M−3.30%

Operating expenses

$386M−3.19%

Other income$3M+3.57%

Tax$70M−4.52%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Oct 3 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×0.99· ±1.0% vs ±1.0% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.0%12 of 24×0.99

NFPjobs report±1.0%7 of 10×0.98

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%12 of 19×0.96

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%12 of 19×0.95

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%8 of 12×0.84

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%4 of 10×0.80

PPIproducer prices±0.8%2 of 10×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±1% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.64 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	4.64	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	4.96	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	4.69	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod