SMCI as of Oct 31 · 18:25 ET

SMCINasdaqElectronic Computers

Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Brief

Next report

3 days

Nov 3 · after closeest.Q1 FY27

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±9.6%implied · report alone

29.8036.10

straddle ±12.1%

spot 32.95exp Nov 6ATM strike 33ATM straddle 4.68IV 128%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

7 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.6%
avg realized: ±13.6%

Apr 29 '25±6.4%▼−11.50%×1.79

May 6 '25±10.1%▼−1.40%×0.14

Aug 5 '25±10.5%▼−18.29%×1.74

Oct 23 '25±4.3%▼−8.72%×2.01

Nov 4 '25±9.3%▼−11.33%×1.22

Q2 FY26±11.4%▲+13.78%×1.20

Q3 FY26±12.4%▲+24.54%×1.99

Q4 FY26±12.8%▲+19.02%×1.49

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q4 FY26±12.8%▲+19.02%×1.49

Q3 FY26±12.4%▲+24.54%×1.99

Q2 FY26±11.4%▲+13.78%×1.20

Nov '25±9.3%▼−11.33%×1.22

Oct '25±4.3%▼−8.72%×2.01

Aug '25±10.5%▼−18.29%×1.74

2 older reports

May '25±10.1%▼−1.40%×0.14

Apr '25±6.4%▼−11.50%×1.79

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

4customers disclosing SMCI as a supplierSEC filings

10tracked funds holding SMCIN-PORT · Aug 31 '26

Bear2

5 of 22largest reporting managers that cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

1 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

SMCI report session

Suppliers 1

NVDANVIDIA×0.21

× = co-movement · max 501dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 22impliedImplied move: ±13.8% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 22 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.