How often does Sherwin Williams move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SHWNYSERetail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply

Sherwin Williams Co (SHW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

332.56

+2.46 · +0.74%

post 328.47 −1.23%

Closed16:15 ET

Open332.94Volume2.2MMkt cap$80.4BP/E29.92EPS10.98Div yield0.96%

Day328.47 – 333.800%52-wk289.19 – 375.0946%

SHW

Sherwin Williams Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

before open · in 88 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−2.73%

vs ±5.8% implied · ×0.47

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

41dADC · supplierRealty Income or Agree Realty During a REIT Sell-Off?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.65%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,744 managers

Top fund weight

4.94%

SHW weight · XLB

N-PORTJun 30 '26

12 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sherwin Williams (SHW) is expected to report on Jan 28 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.7%
avg realized: ±3.5%

Jan 30 '25Jan 30 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+1.43%×0.24

Apr 29 '25Apr 29 '25confirmed±5.8%▲+4.80%×0.83

Jul 22 '25Jul 22 '25confirmed±4.8%▼−0.36%×0.07

Oct 28 '25Oct 28 '25confirmed±5.9%▲+5.47%×0.93

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±5.3%▲+1.42%×0.27

Q1 FY26Apr 28 '26confirmed±5.7%▼−3.52%×0.62

Q2 FY26Jul 28 '26confirmed±6.3%▲+8.25%×1.30

Q3 FY26Oct 27 '26confirmed±5.8%▼−2.73%×0.47

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26±5.8%▼−2.73%×0.47

Q2 FY26±6.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.73OI · 4 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4,606+8%Nov 2019d2.222,071+1%2.22

2,202+1%Dec 1847d0.603,647+4%0.60

3,301+6%Jan 1575d0.794,167+3%0.79

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

8140%Mar 19138d1,108−1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d4,606+8%2,071+1%2.22

Dec 1847d2,202+1%3,647+4%0.60

Jan 1575d3,301+6%4,167+3%0.79

report · Jan 28 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

11.97%as filednet margin · revenue +1.04% QoQ · +7.89% YoY

Revenue

$6.9B+1.04% QoQ

Gross profit

$3.3B−1.82% QoQ

47.77% margin

Operating income

$1.2B−2.27% QoQ

17.53% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.1B−4.40% QoQ

Net income

$821M−2.68% QoQ

11.97% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.6B+3.81% QoQ

Operating expenses

$2.1B−1.56% QoQ

SG&A $2.1B

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$139M

Tax

$243M−9.82% QoQ

Revenue$6.9B+1.04%

Gross profit

$3.3B−1.82%

47.77% margin

Operating income

$1.2B−2.27%

17.53% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.1B−4.40%

Net income

$821M−2.68%

11.97% margin

Cost of revenue

$3.6B+3.81%

Operating expenses

$2.1B−1.56%

SG&A $2.1B

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$139M

Tax$243M−9.82%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.29· ±1.5% vs ±1.1% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.5%6 of 11×1.29

FOMCrate decision±1.5%8 of 24×1.26

NFPjobs report±1.3%6 of 10×1.16

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%11 of 20×1.05

GDPgross domestic product±1.1%11 of 20×0.93

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%3 of 11×0.83

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.73

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 3.38 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 27 '26 · confirmed	3.38	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 28 '26 · confirmed	3.43	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 28 '26 · confirmed	2.15	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod