SERANasdaqServices-Medical Laboratories

Sera Prognostics, Inc. (SERA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.97

+0.04 · +2.07%

post 1.97 +0.10%

Closed15:58 ET

Open1.97Volume14,961Mkt cap$76.1MEPS-0.66

Day1.97 – 1.97100%52-wk1.56 – 3.8518%

SERA

Sera Prognostics, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 24

after close · in 140 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

63dELV · customerHow Is Elevance Health’s Stock Performance Compared to Other Health Providers?

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.96%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

46 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

SERA weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sera Prognostics (SERA) is expected to report on Mar 24 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 12 '26confirmed±69.5%▼−0.50%×0.01

quarterimplied−70%0+70%realized×

Q2 FY26±69.5%▼−0.50%×0.01

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Nov 3 close

0.10OI · 1 expiry · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

410%Jan 1572d4280%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1572d410%4280%0.10

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−19173.81%as filednet margin · revenue +40.00% QoQ · +162.50% YoY

Revenue$42,000+40.00%

Gross profit$42,000100.00%+40.00%

Operating income−$9M−21159.52%+11.17%

Pre-tax income−$8M+11.88%

Net income−$8M−19173.81%+11.88%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$9M−11.01%

Other income$834,000−3.58%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×2.24· ±9.1% vs ±4.0% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±9.1%8 of 19×2.24

FOMCrate decision±3.6%13 of 24×0.90

PPIproducer prices±3.0%3 of 10×0.74

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%2 of 12×0.72

GDPgross domestic product±2.8%5 of 19×0.70

NFPjobs report±2.8%6 of 10×0.70

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%5 of 10×0.69

Bar = avg |move| to ±10% · tick = ±4.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.16 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	-0.16	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.18	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.17	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.16

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod