RIVNNasdaqMotor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

14.05

+0.76 · +5.72%

post 13.98 −0.50%

Closed19:56 ET

Open13.30Volume41.9MMkt cap$19.4BEPS-2.25

Day13.30 – 14.2969%52-wk11.38 – 22.6923%

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

after close · in 98 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+6.20%

vs ±8.2% implied · ×0.75

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1hAMZN · supplierKyndryl Uses Agentic AI to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization with AWS

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.76%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

836 managers

Top fund weight

0.17%

RIVN weight · FTC

N-PORTJul 31 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is expected to report on Feb 11 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

—≥ implied

Feb 20 '25Feb 20 '25confirmed—▼−4.70%—

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed—▼−5.78%—

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed—▼−4.20%—

Nov 4 '25Nov 4 '25confirmed—▲+23.36%—

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed—▲+26.64%—

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed—▼−8.41%—

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed—▼−9.57%—

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±8.2%▲+6.20%×0.75

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q3 FY26±8.2%▲+6.20%×0.75

Q2 FY26—▼−9.57%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.23OI · 8 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

19,492+29%Nov 61d0.2771,384+39%0.27

10,400+39%Nov 138d0.5020,659+64%0.50

34,839−1%Nov 2015d0.5069,005+2%0.50

6,426+3%Nov 2722d0.6010,782+17%0.60

2,252+80%Dec 429d0.2210,119+239%0.22

189,2500%Dec 1843d0.75253,920+1%0.75

244,6400%Jan 1571d0.75328,081−1%0.75

report · Feb 11 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 61d19,492+29%71,384+39%0.27

Nov 138d10,400+39%20,659+64%0.50

Nov 2015d34,839−1%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−42.37%as filednet margin · revenue +29.98% QoQ · +38.32% YoY

Revenue$2.2B+29.98%

Gross profit$176M8.17%−1.68%

Operating income−$881M−40.88%−5.38%

Pre-tax income−$908M−8.35%

Net income−$913M−42.37%−9.60%

Cost of revenue$2.0B+33.81%

Operating expenses$1.1B+4.14%

Tax−$1M0.00%

Other expense−$27M−1250.00%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.77· ±5.4% vs ±3.0% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±5.4%5 of 11×1.77

NFPjobs report±3.7%4 of 10×1.21

FOMCrate decision±2.5%9 of 24×0.81

PPIproducer prices±2.3%6 of 11×0.74

CPROFcorporate profits±2.3%6 of 12×0.74

GDPgross domestic product±2.2%10 of 20×0.72

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%7 of 20×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±3.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.63 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	-0.63	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	-0.63	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	-0.33	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod