What move does the options market price into Sturm Ruger's report?

Implied ±10.2%, either direction.

How often does Sturm Ruger move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

RGRNYSEOrdnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

45.00

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open45.15Volume146,982Mkt cap$734.2MP/E59.21EPS0.76Div yield0.98%

Day44.87 – 45.2239%52-wk28.03 – 50.8474%

RGR

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.2%implied · straddle

40.2649.40

spot 44.83exp Nov 20ATM strike 45ATM straddle 5.38IV 68%

Nov 2 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.33%

vs ±9.5% implied · ×0.35

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.71%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

175 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

RGR weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sturm Ruger (RGR) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.5%
avg realized: ±7.5%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±8.8%▼−3.58%×0.40

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±6.4%▲+12.27%×1.91

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±7.5%▼−15.89%×2.11

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±9.7%▼−1.33%×0.14

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±8.9%▼−19.81%×2.22

Q1 FY26Mar 2 '26confirmed±9.8%▲+0.69%×0.07

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±7.1%▼−3.38%×0.47

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±9.5%▲+3.33%×0.35

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.5%▲+3.33%×0.35

May '26±7.1%▼−3.38%×0.47

Q1 FY26±9.8%▲+0.69%×0.07

Nov '25±8.9%▼−19.81%×2.22

Jul '25±9.7%▼−1.33%×0.14

Apr '25±7.5%▼−15.89%×2.11

2 older reports

Feb '25±6.4%▲+12.27%×1.91

Oct '24±8.8%▼−3.58%×0.40

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.92OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

7,187−2%Nov 2016d7,797−12%

103+10200%Dec 1844d1.1391—1.13

114+1%Jan 1572d0.95120+13%0.95

62+27%Apr 16163d0.54115+42%0.54

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d7,187−2%7,797−12%0.92

Dec 1844d103+10200%91—1.13

Jan 1572d114+1%120+13%0.95

Apr 16163d62+27%115+42%0.54

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.2%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

4.42%as filednet margin · revenue +11.82% QoQ · +19.30% YoY

Revenue

$158M+11.82% QoQ

Gross profit

$34M+20.17% QoQ

21.35% margin

Operating income

$8M+491.43% QoQ

4.83% margin

Pre-tax income

$9M+12127.03% QoQ

Net income

$7M+5353.91% QoQ

4.42% margin

Cost of revenue

$124M+9.74% QoQ

Operating expenses

$26M−13.03% QoQ

Tax

$2M+1050.00% QoQ

Other income

$1M−32.21% QoQ

Revenue$158M+11.82%

Gross profit

$34M+20.17%

21.35% margin

Operating income

$8M+491.43%

4.83% margin

Pre-tax income

$9M+12127.03%

Net income

$7M+5353.91%

4.42% margin

Cost of revenue

$124M+9.74%

Operating expenses

$26M−13.03%

Other income$1M−32.21%

Tax$2M+1050.00%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 27 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 2 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.21· ±1.5% vs ±1.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.5%5 of 10×1.21

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%8 of 19×0.98

PPIproducer prices±1.2%6 of 10×0.93

FOMCrate decision±1.0%7 of 24×0.82

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 19×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.66

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%7 of 10×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.43 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.43	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 2 '26 · confirmed	0.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod