How often does Sturm Ruger move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

RGRNYSEOrdnance & Accessories, (No Vehicles/Guided Missiles)

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc (RGR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

49.82

+4.70 · +10.42%

post 51.00 +2.37%

Closed16:14 ET

Open46.20Volume146,982Mkt cap$734.2MP/E67.11EPS0.76Div yield0.98%

Day46.20 – 51.00100%52-wk28.03 – 50.84100%

RGR

Sturm Ruger & Co Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 1

after close · in 116 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedQ3 FY26Nov 3 close

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.71%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

175 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

RGR weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sturm Ruger (RGR) is expected to report on Mar 1 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.5%
avg realized: ±7.5%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±8.8%▼−3.58%×0.40

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±6.4%▲+12.27%×1.91

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±7.5%▼−15.89%×2.11

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed±9.7%▼−1.33%×0.14

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±8.9%▼−19.81%×2.22

Q1 FY26Mar 2 '26confirmed±9.8%▲+0.69%×0.07

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±7.1%▼−3.38%×0.47

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±9.5%▲+3.33%×0.35

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.5%▲+3.33%×0.35

May '26±7.1%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.54OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

7,187−2%Nov 2015d0.927,797−12%0.92

103+10200%Dec 1843d1.1391—1.13

114+1%Jan 1571d0.95120+13%0.95

report · Mar 1 · after close · est.

62+27%Apr 16162d115+42%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d7,187−2%7,797−12%0.92

Dec 1843d103+10200%91—1.13

Jan 1571d114+1%120+13%0.95

report · Mar 1 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

3.93%as filednet margin · revenue −6.60% QoQ · +16.46% YoY

Revenue

$148M−6.60% QoQ

Gross profit

$31M−9.54% QoQ

20.68% margin

Operating income

$6M−21.63% QoQ

4.05% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M−15.22% QoQ

Net income

$6M−16.85% QoQ

3.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$117M−5.80% QoQ

Operating expenses

$25M−6.01% QoQ

Tax

$2M−9.33% QoQ

Other income

$2M+23.21% QoQ

Revenue$148M−6.60%

Gross profit

$31M−9.54%

20.68% margin

Operating income

$6M−21.63%

4.05% margin

Pre-tax income

$8M−15.22%

Net income

$6M−16.85%

3.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$117M−5.80%

Operating expenses

$25M−6.01%

Other income$2M+23.21%

Tax$2M−9.33%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 26 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.21· ±1.5% vs ±1.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.5%5 of 10×1.21

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%8 of 19×0.98

PPIproducer prices±1.2%6 of 10×0.93

FOMCrate decision±1.0%7 of 24×0.82

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 19×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.66

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%7 of 10×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.36 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.36	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.43	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 2 '26 · confirmed	0.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod