RFLNYSEPharmaceutical Preparations

Rafael Holdings, Inc. (RFL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.22

+0.14 · +12.96%

post 1.13 −7.38%

Closed15:58 ET

Open1.14Volume67,242Mkt cap$55.5MEPS-0.58

Day1.10 – 1.2225%52-wk1.08 – 3.962%

RFL

Rafael Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 14

after close · in 44 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−7.44%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

34.00%

of RFL revenue · Undisclosed major customer

customerRFL 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+9.67%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

40 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

RFL weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Rafael (RFL) is expected to report on Dec 14 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▼−7.44%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26—▼−7.44%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2060%

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

−968.76%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +229.29% QoQ · +208.36% YoY

Revenue$922,000+229.29%

Pre-tax income−$9M−211.51%

Net income−$9M−968.76%−208.21%

Tax−$77,000−1383.33%

Derived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Jul 31 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.87· ±5.5% vs ±2.9% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±5.5%6 of 12×1.87

GDPgross domestic product±5.0%9 of 20×1.71

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.9%7 of 20×1.66

NFPjobs report±4.4%7 of 10×1.51

PPIproducer prices±3.9%6 of 11×1.33

FOMCrate decision±3.5%9 of 25×1.18

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%4 of 11×1.01

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±2.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.18 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	—	-0.18	—
Q3 FY26	—	-0.08	—
Q2 FY26	—	-0.13	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod