RDW
Redwire Corp10.64post+$0.01 (+0.09%)at close +$0.99 (+10.27%)
as of 23:57:01 UTCnext report Aug 10 · 5d
Earnings Room‹ back to RDW
The report
fiscal Q2 2026 · from the company's noticeAug 10after close5days out
Expected movement
market-implied · at the Aug 4 close±11.0%is what the chain prices for this report itself, with the ordinary drift of the days around it taken out. Not a view we hold.
The full straddle prices ±15.8% over the 10 days to expiry; the rest of that is everyday movement, which the chain prices at 103% annualized.
expiry Aug 14 · first after the reportATM strike 10.5straddle 1.97ATM IV 143% vs 128% at Aug 21× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 10.64
Blast radius
2 linked · N-PORT + EDGARIf RDW moves ±15.8% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.
Positioning
Butterfly LadderNo options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.
The record
expected in pale · actual in full color2/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±10.8% realized vs ±13.7% priced
May 6 '26±10.5%→−4.6%×0.43
Feb 25 '26±11.6%→+10.8%×0.93
Nov 5 '25±12.1%→−18.1%×1.49
Aug 6 '25±10.0%→−30.9%×3.09
May 12 '25±11.4%→−6.6%×0.58
Mar 11 '25±12.9%→−3.6%×0.28
Mar 10 '25±18.1%→−8.4%×0.47
Jan 21 '25±22.6%→−3.0%×0.14
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q1 FY26 · reported -0.40 · rev $97M
record note
The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.