RCATNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.61

−0.44 · −8.71%

post 4.65 +0.87%

Closed19:47 ET

Open4.87Volume4.8MMkt cap$707.1MEPS-0.79

Day4.47 – 4.8845%52-wk4.14 – 18.783%

RCAT

Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

News

37dRed Cat Celebrates Inaugural Blue Ops Day in Georgia, Marking a Year of Growth in U.S. Maritime Manufacturing
40dRed Cat CEO Just Sold $1.6 Million of Stock. Wall Street Sees 144% Rally Ahead.
43dRed Cat and Unusual Machines Fall 3% as Drone Selloff Extends; Ondas Slips

News

Next report

Last report

+6.23%

vs ±10.7% implied · ×0.58

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

73.00%

of RCAT revenue · U.S. Government

customerRCAT 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+44.49%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

290 managers

Top fund weight

0.04%

RCAT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

No upcoming report date for Red Cat (RCAT). No implied move. 1 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

Implied vs realized

7 reports

1 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±17.7%
avg realized: ±5.1%

Sep 15 '23Sep 15 '23confirmed±24.0%▲+1.02%×0.04

Sep 21 '23Sep 21 '23confirmed±22.4%▼−1.59%×0.07

Mar 18 '24Mar 18 '24confirmed±33.5%▼−6.41%×0.19

Jan 13 '26Jan 13 '26confirmed±8.9%▲+9.38%×1.06

Q1 FY26Mar 18 '26confirmed±13.5%▼−10.97%×0.81

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±10.9%▲+0.10%×0.01

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±10.7%▲+6.23%×0.58

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Q2 FY26±10.7%▲+6.23%×0.58

May '26±10.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.46OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,674+81%Nov 66d3,620+74%

1,595+8%Nov 1313d0.404,012+70%0.40

20,739+14%Nov 2020d0.7228,948+4%0.72

387+14%Nov 2727d0.221,734+25%0.22

286—Dec 434d3.0195—3.01

3 later expiries

2,429+68%Dec 1848d1.221,991+159%1.22

34,090+66%Jan 1576d0.38

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 66d1,674+81%3,620+74%0.46

Nov 1313d1,595+8%4,012+70%0.40

Nov 2020d20,739+14%28,948+4%0.72

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−174.64%as filednet margin · revenue +30.50% QoQ · +527.18% YoY

Revenue$20M+30.50%

Gross profit$3M16.15%+65.90%

Operating income−$39M−191.42%−41.55%

Pre-tax income−$35M−32.73%

Net income−$35M−174.64%−32.79%

Cost of revenue$17M+25.34%

Operating expenses$42M+43.18%

Tax$23,000+360.00%

Other income$3M+352.12%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.15· ±6.1% vs ±5.3% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±6.1%6 of 12×1.15

PPIproducer prices±5.9%3 of 10×1.12

GDPgross domestic product±5.3%8 of 19×0.99

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.6%7 of 19×0.86

CPIconsumer prices±4.5%6 of 10×0.85

FOMCrate decision±3.7%12 of 24×0.69

NFPjobs report±3.4%4 of 10×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±5.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.26 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.26	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 18 '26 · confirmed	-0.22	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.16	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod