How often does Prudential Financial move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PRUNYSELife Insurance

Prudential Financial Inc (PRU) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

116.47

pre 117.32 +0.39%

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open116.99Volume2.1MMkt cap$40.2BP/E10.25Div yield4.77%

Day116.04 – 117.32100%52-wk89.62 – 126.2676%

PRU

Prudential Financial Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 2

after close · in 92 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.38%

vs ±1.5% implied · ×0.26

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 15 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dLPLA · supplierLPL Financial Holdings posts q3 net income $356.6 million, $4.52 diluted

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.64%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

1,417 managers

Top fund weight

0.49%

PRU weight · XLF

N-PORTJun 30 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Prudential Financial (PRU) is expected to report on Feb 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.9%
avg realized: ±2.0%

Jul 30 '25Jul 30 '25confirmed—▲+1.77%—

Q3 FY25Oct 29 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+1.88%×0.36

Feb 3 '26Feb 3 '26confirmed±3.9%▼−4.67%×1.21

Q1 FY26Apr 21 '26confirmed±5.9%▼−1.66%×0.28

May 5 '26May 5 '26confirmed±3.5%▼−0.11%×0.03

Q2 FY26Jul 15 '26confirmed±2.1%▲+2.79%×1.35

Aug 4 '26Aug 4 '26confirmed±4.8%▼−2.74%×0.57

Oct 15 '26Oct 15 '26confirmed±1.5%▼−0.38%×0.26

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±1.5%▼−0.38%×0.26

Aug '26±4.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.76OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5,339+42%Nov 2018d1.413,791+4%1.41

6,0190%Dec 1846d0.659,304−6%0.65

13,7460%Jan 1574d1.1312,2170%1.13

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

2,877+8%Mar 19137d3,779+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d5,339+42%3,791+4%1.41

Dec 1846d6,0190%9,304−6%0.65

Jan 1574d13,7460%12,2170%1.13

report · Feb 2 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

6.62%as filednet margin · revenue +0.87% QoQ · +14.10% YoY

Revenue$15.7B+0.87%

Pre-tax income$1.2B+60.71%

Net income$1.0B6.62%+70.96%

Tax$218M+68.99%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mVolume ×0.83 · 20d avgSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.19· ±1.3% vs ±1.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.3%11 of 24×1.19

PPIproducer prices±1.2%7 of 10×1.10

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%11 of 19×1.02

NFPjobs report±1.1%4 of 10×1.00

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%8 of 19×0.78

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.74

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%5 of 10×0.68

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.80 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 15 '26 · confirmed	2.80	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 21 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 29 '25 · confirmed	—	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod