Porch Group, Inc. · Brief

Next report

102 days

Feb 10 · after closeest.Q4 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±22.8%implied · straddle

15.8625.26

spot 20.56exp Feb 19ATM strike 20ATM straddle 5.53IV 62%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±23.5%
avg realized: ±34.5%

Feb 25 '25±33.6%▲+74.14%×2.21

May 6 '25±25.9%▲+67.98%×2.63

Aug 5 '25±18.9%▲+21.88%×1.16

Nov 5 '25±22.7%▼−33.40%×1.47

Feb 11 '26±23.2%▲+12.52%×0.54

Q1 FY26±22.2%▲+17.93%×0.81

Q2 FY26±22.1%▼−19.66%×0.89

Q3 FY26±19.2%▲+28.16%×1.47

quarterimplied−75%0+75%realized×

Q3 FY26±19.2%▲+28.16%×1.47

Q2 FY26±22.1%▼−19.66%×0.89

Q1 FY26±22.2%▲+17.93%×0.81

Feb '26±23.2%▲+12.52%×0.54

Nov '25±22.7%▼−33.40%×1.47

Aug '25±18.9%▲+21.88%×1.16

2 older reports

May '25±25.9%▲+67.98%×2.63

Feb '25±33.6%▲+74.14%×2.21

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Feb 10 report · est.

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Linked exposure

PRCH report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 308-KMaterial agreement: Distribution Agreement with StoneX Financial Inc.Source

Oct 28impliedImplied move: ±19.2% into Oct 28 earnings (Oct 28 close).Source

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±18.2% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.