How often does Outdoor move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

POWWNasdaqServices-Business Services, NEC

Outdoor Holding Co (POWW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.40

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open2.40Volume283,085Mkt cap$270.9MP/E78.54

Day2.40 – 2.438%52-wk1.55 – 2.6776%

POWW

Outdoor Holding Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

before open · in 4 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+20.19%

vs ±29.9% implied · ×0.68

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.73%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

146 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

POWW weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Outdoor (POWW) is expected to report on Nov 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±21.1%
avg realized: ±11.0%

Feb 8 '24Feb 8 '24confirmed±14.3%▲+13.57%×0.95

Jun 13 '24Jun 13 '24confirmed±11.9%▼−28.69%×2.41

Aug 8 '24Aug 8 '24confirmed±37.1%▼−7.10%×0.19

Aug 8 '25Aug 8 '25confirmed±13.2%▲+1.75%×0.13

Q2 FY26Nov 10 '25confirmed±21.6%▲+6.13%×0.28

Q3 FY26Feb 9 '26confirmed±24.8%▲+7.14%×0.29

Q1 FY27Jun 22 '26confirmed±15.8%▲+3.27%×0.21

Aug 10 '26Aug 10 '26confirmed±29.9%▲+20.19%×0.68

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Aug '26±29.9%▲+20.19%×0.68

Q1 FY27±15.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.10OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

19—Nov 2015d194—

0—Dec 1843d0.00175—0.00

30%Jan 1571d0.002,548+6%0.00

3+50%Apr 16162d0.001,903+111%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d19—194—0.10

Dec 1843d0—175—0.00

Jan 1571d30%2,548+6%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

24.68%as filednet margin · revenue +4.26% QoQ · +22.12% YoY

Revenue

$14M+4.26% QoQ

Gross profit

$12M+0.67% QoQ

84.55% margin

Operating income

$3M+211.55% QoQ

22.76% margin

Pre-tax income

$4M+235.31% QoQ

Net income

$4M+600.29% QoQ

24.68% margin

Cost of revenue

$2M−80.96% QoQ

Operating expenses

$9M+75.72% QoQ

Depreciation $4M

SG&A $3M

Other operating $2M

Tax

$36,715−25.88% QoQ

Other income

$314,971+10.08% QoQ

Revenue$14M+4.26%

Gross profit

$12M+0.67%

84.55% margin

Operating income

$3M+211.55%

22.76% margin

Pre-tax income

$4M+235.31%

Net income

$4M+600.29%

24.68% margin

Cost of revenue

$2M−80.96%

Operating expenses

$9M+75.72%

Depreciation $4M

SG&A $3M

Other operating $2M

Other income$314,971+10.08%

Tax$36,715−25.88%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.12· ±2.9% vs ±2.6% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±2.9%6 of 19×1.12

CPROFcorporate profits±2.5%3 of 12×0.97

FOMCrate decision±2.3%9 of 24×0.90

PPIproducer prices±2.1%2 of 10×0.79

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%4 of 19×0.76

NFPjobs report±1.7%7 of 10×0.65

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 10×0.24

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS — · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Jun 22 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q4 FY26	—	—	—
Q3 FY26	Feb 9 '26 · confirmed	—	—
Q2 FY26	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod