How often does Pinnacle West Capital move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PNWNYSEElectric Services

Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

107.45

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open105.64Volume2.4MMkt cap$13.1BP/E19.72EPS5.45Div yield3.39%

Day105.64 – 108.1074%52-wk83.10 – 109.2093%

PNW

Pinnacle West Capital Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

before open · in 112 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.69%

vs ±2.7% implied · ×0.63

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.32%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

728 managers

Top fund weight

0.91%

PNW weight · XLU

N-PORTJun 30 '26

8 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) is expected to report on Feb 24 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±3.6%
avg realized: ±1.1%

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+1.14%×0.24

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±3.9%▼−1.86%×0.48

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±4.1%▲+0.24%×0.06

Nov 3 '25Nov 3 '25confirmed±4.3%▲+2.10%×0.49

Feb 25 '26Feb 25 '26confirmed±3.2%▼−0.26%×0.08

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±2.6%▼−0.79%×0.30

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±3.6%▲+0.63%×0.18

Q3 FY26Nov 3 '26confirmed±2.7%▲+1.69%×0.63

quarterimplied−5%0+5%realized×

Q3 FY26±2.7%▲+1.69%×0.63

Q2 FY26±3.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

16.77OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

153+1%Nov 2016d0.236630%0.23

190+1%Dec 1844d0.111,7010%0.11

990%Jan 1572d0.342950%0.34

report · Feb 24 · before open · est.

3,1700%Apr 16163d189+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d153+1%6630%0.23

Dec 1844d190+1%1,7010%0.11

Jan 1572d990%2950%0.34

report · Feb 24 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

22.12%as filednet margin · revenue +35.51% QoQ · +8.35% YoY

Revenue

$2.0B+35.51% QoQ

Gross profit

$920M+49.89% QoQ

46.64% margin

Operating income

$621M+103.10% QoQ

31.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$517M+143.69% QoQ

Net income

$436M+141.43% QoQ

22.12% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+25.03% QoQ

Operating expenses

$299M−2.88% QoQ

Depreciation $243M

Other operating $56M

SG&A $507,000

Other expense

$104M

Tax

$80M+156.73% QoQ

Revenue$2.0B+35.51%

Gross profit

$920M+49.89%

46.64% margin

Operating income

$621M+103.10%

31.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$517M+143.69%

Net income

$436M+141.43%

22.12% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+25.03%

Operating expenses

$299M−2.88%

Depreciation $243M

Other operating $56M

SG&A $507,000

Other expense

$104M

Tax$80M+156.73%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mVolume ×1.15 · 20d avgSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.25· ±1.1% vs ±0.9% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.1%11 of 24×1.25

NFPjobs report±1.0%6 of 10×1.15

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%7 of 12×1.07

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 19×1.03

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%11 of 19×1.02

PPIproducer prices±0.8%5 of 10×0.95

CPIconsumer prices±0.7%6 of 10×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±0.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±0.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 3.49 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 3 '26 · confirmed	3.49	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	1.43	—
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	0.27	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod