How often does Provident Financial Services move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PFSNYSESavings Institution, Federally Chartered

Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

23.29

−0.26 · −1.12%

Regular session14:25 ET

Open23.36Volume1.3MMkt cap$3.1BP/E9.70EPS2.40Div yield4.08%

Day23.21 – 23.5522%52-wk17.16 – 25.2576%

PFS

Provident Financial Services Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 27

in 85 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.22%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

41dFIS · supplierFIS Has One Number to Hit Before the Dividend Story Gets More Interesting

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.14%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

313 managers

Top fund weight

0.09%

PFS weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Provident Financial Services (PFS) is expected to report on Jan 27 (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±16.7%
avg realized: ±2.6%

Jan 29 '25Jan 29 '25confirmed±14.5%▼−4.59%×0.32

Apr 25 '25Apr 25 '25confirmed±10.1%▼−2.01%×0.20

Jul 24 '25Jul 24 '25confirmed±14.5%▲+0.44%×0.03

Q3 FY25Oct 30 '25confirmed±18.8%▼−0.38%×0.02

Jan 28 '26Jan 28 '26confirmed±23.9%▲+6.67%×0.28

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±22.5%▲+1.16%×0.05

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±12.7%▲+3.28%×0.26

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▲+0.22%—

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26—▲+0.22%—

Q2 FY26±12.7%▲+3.28%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 28 close

0.07OI · 1 expiry · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

70%Jan 1573d1010%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1573d70%1010%0.07

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

33.30%as filednet margin · revenue +4.20% QoQ · +9.56% YoY

Revenue$235M+4.20%

Pre-tax income$106M−3.73%

Net income$78M33.30%−1.60%

Tax$28M−9.23%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 14:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.83· ±2.6% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.6%11 of 24×1.83

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%11 of 19×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%8 of 12×0.77

PPIproducer prices±1.0%6 of 10×0.74

NFPjobs report±1.0%3 of 10×0.74

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%9 of 19×0.61

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%5 of 10×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.60 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.60	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.61	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 30 '25 · confirmed	0.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod