How often does Ponce Financial move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 5 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PDLBNasdaqSavings Institution, Federally Chartered

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. (PDLB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

21.89

−0.55 · −2.45%

post 21.90 +0.05%

Closed19:24 ET

Open22.37Volume284,569Mkt cap$542.8MP/E15.42EPS1.42

Day21.76 – 22.3723%52-wk14.01 – 22.9388%

PDLB

Ponce Financial Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 6 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.84%

vs ±17.3% implied · ×0.05

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 27 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.99%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

86 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

PDLB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ponce Financial (PDLB) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 5≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.5%
avg realized: ±1.8%

Dec 10 '24Dec 10 '24confirmed—▲+0.61%—

Jan 28 '25Jan 28 '25confirmed—▲+0.45%—

Apr 25 '25Apr 25 '25confirmed—▲+6.94%—

Jul 25 '25Jul 25 '25confirmed±21.5%▲+4.74%×0.22

Oct 24 '25Oct 24 '25confirmed±23.5%▲+1.60%×0.07

Jan 27 '26Jan 27 '26confirmed±18.6%▲+0.84%×0.05

Q1 FY26Apr 24 '26confirmed±11.8%▲+1.03%×0.09

Q2 FY26Jul 27 '26confirmed±17.3%▼−0.84%×0.05

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±17.3%▼−0.84%×0.05

Q1 FY26±11.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 30 close

0.00OI · 1 expiry · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

0—Feb 19108d4920%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Feb 19108d0—4920%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

26.89%as filednet margin · revenue +4.36% QoQ · +19.26% YoY

Revenue$32M+4.36%

Pre-tax income$11M−0.59%

Net income$8M26.89%−1.48%

Tax$3M+2.22%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.57· ±1.9% vs ±1.2% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.9%11 of 24×1.57

PPIproducer prices±1.0%5 of 10×0.84

NFPjobs report±1.0%3 of 10×0.82

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%5 of 12×0.65

GDPgross domestic product±0.6%5 of 19×0.52

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%5 of 10×0.52

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.6%3 of 19×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.35 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 27 '26 · confirmed	0.35	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 24 '26 · confirmed	0.36	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod