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PARR as of Nov 2 · 01:00 ET
PARRNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. · Brief

Next report

1 day

Nov 3 · after closeest.Q3 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
3 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±9.9%
avg realized
±9.4%
Nov 4 '24±5.9%▼−4.49%×0.76
Feb 26 '25±10.5%▼−9.66%×0.92
May 6 '25±12.0%▲+10.64%×0.89
Aug 5 '25±8.1%▼−11.12%×1.38
Nov 4 '25±11.8%▼−7.16%×0.60
Feb 24 '26±11.0%▼−6.09%×0.55
Q1 FY26±8.8%▼−9.99%×1.13
Q2 FY26±10.9%▼−15.76%×1.44
quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×
Q2 FY26±10.9%▼−15.76%×1.44
Q1 FY26±8.8%▼−9.99%×1.13
Feb '26±11.0%▼−6.09%×0.55
Nov '25±11.8%▼−7.16%×0.60
Aug '25±8.1%▼−11.12%×1.38
May '25±12.0%▲+10.64%×0.89
2 older reports
Feb '25±10.5%▼−9.66%×0.92
Nov '24±5.9%▼−4.49%×0.76
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 3 report · est.

Bull2

5disclosed supplier and customer ties in SEC filingsSEC filings
371managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

5 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
9 of 25of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

PARR report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 20impliedImplied move: ±13.1% into Nov 3 earnings (Oct 20 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.