How often does Ranpak move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PACKNYSEConverted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes)

Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

3.36

0.00 · −0.15%

Regular session09:39 ET

Open3.48Volume1.2MMkt cap$288.2MEPS-0.40

Day3.36 – 3.480%52-wk2.97 – 7.818%

PACK

Ranpak Holdings Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 4

before open · in 119 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−10.05%

vs ±37.7% implied · ×0.27

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmedthin chain

Implied vs realized

Linked news

9hAMZN · customerKyndryl Uses Agentic AI to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization with AWS

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+0.76%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

133 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

PACK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ranpak (PACK) is expected to report on Mar 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±23.4%
avg realized: ±17.4%

Mar 6 '25Mar 6 '25confirmed±19.3%▲+2.65%×0.14

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±21.0%▼−29.84%×1.42

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±26.3%▲+19.49%×0.74

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±17.2%▼−17.03%×0.99

Q1 FY26Mar 5 '26confirmed±17.6%▼−19.85%×1.13

Apr 30 '26Apr 30 '26confirmed±23.6%▲+29.19%×1.23

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±24.6%▼−11.47%×0.47

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed±37.7%thin chain▼−10.05%×0.27

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Q3 FY26±37.7%▼−10.05%×0.27

Q2 FY26±24.6%▼−11.47%×0.47

Apr '26±23.6%▲+29.19%×1.23

Q1 FY26±17.6%▼−19.85%×1.13

Oct '25±17.2%▼−17.03%×0.99

Aug '25±26.3%▲+19.49%×0.74

2 older reports

May '25±21.0%▼−29.84%×1.42

Mar '25±19.3%▲+2.65%×0.14

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.13OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

50−48%Nov 2015d390+14%

40%Feb 19106d0.02193−22%0.02

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d50−48%390+14%0.13

Feb 19106d40%193−22%0.02

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−7.07%as filednet margin · revenue −3.14% QoQ · +2.31% YoY

Revenue$102M−3.14%

Gross profit$36M35.62%+5.22%

Operating income$00.00%+100.00%

Pre-tax income−$9M+16.67%

Net income−$7M−7.07%+8.86%

Cost of revenue$66M−7.21%

Operating expenses$36M−1.63%

Tax−$2M+37.93%

Other expense−$9M−7.14%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.67· ±5.2% vs ±3.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±5.2%13 of 24×1.67

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.9%9 of 19×1.58

GDPgross domestic product±4.7%10 of 19×1.51

NFPjobs report±2.7%5 of 10×0.86

PPIproducer prices±2.4%4 of 10×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±2.2%8 of 12×0.71

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%3 of 10×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.08 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	-0.08	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	-0.09	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod