How often does OppFi move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

OPFINYSEFinance Services

OppFi Inc. (OPFI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

6.29

−0.08 · −1.18%

post 6.29 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open6.43Volume1.6MMkt cap$542.8MP/E5.34

Day5.96 – 6.4371%52-wk5.36 – 11.6915%

OPFI

OppFi Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 17

before open · in 132 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+3.49%

vs ±13.6% implied · ×0.26

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

22hAMZN · supplierKyndryl Uses Agentic AI to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization with AWS
1dCRM · supplierAIMG® Sizes AI Governance Platforms Market at $12.5 Billion by 2030; Microsoft, Databricks and Salesforce Top AI LeaderMap®

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+33.46%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

146 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

OPFI weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

OppFi (OPFI) is expected to report on Mar 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.9%
avg realized: ±9.4%

Mar 5 '25Mar 5 '25confirmed±13.2%▲+10.80%×0.82

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±18.6%▲+11.75%×0.63

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±11.1%▲+13.41%×1.21

Q3 FY25Oct 29 '25confirmed±17.4%▲+3.80%×0.22

Q1 FY26Mar 11 '26confirmed±13.2%▼−5.87%×0.44

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±8.5%▲+1.44%×0.17

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±15.4%▼−24.86%×1.62

Oct 28 '26Oct 28 '26confirmed±13.6%▲+3.49%×0.26

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Oct '26±13.6%▲+3.49%×0.26

Q2 FY26±15.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.81OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

470%Nov 2015d0.104720%0.10

0—Dec 1843d0.001030%0.00

3,1960%Jan 1571d0.724,447+1%0.72

report · Mar 3 · before open · est.

1000%Apr 16162d1240%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d470%4720%0.10

Dec 1843d0—1030%0.00

Jan 1571d3,1960%4,447+1%0.72

report · Mar 3 · before open · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

23.10%as filednet margin · revenue +2.80% QoQ · −3.78% YoY

Revenue

$149M+2.80% QoQ

Gross profit

$137M+5.93% QoQ

91.48% margin

Operating income

$37M+52.10% QoQ

24.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$41M+60.06% QoQ

Net income

$34M+120.85% QoQ

23.10% margin

Cost of revenue

$13M−21.95% QoQ

Operating expenses

$43M−5.56% QoQ

Other operating $15M

Marketing $13M

SG&A $13M

Other operating $2M

Other expense

$53M

Tax

$6M−36.34% QoQ

Revenue$149M+2.80%

Gross profit

$137M+5.93%

91.48% margin

Operating income

$37M+52.10%

24.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$41M+60.06%

Net income

$34M+120.85%

23.10% margin

Cost of revenue

$13M−21.95%

Operating expenses

$43M−5.56%

Other operating $15M

Marketing $13M

SG&A $13M

Other expense

$53M

Tax$6M−36.34%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.35· ±4.1% vs ±3.0% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±4.1%12 of 24×1.35

CPROFcorporate profits±2.5%6 of 12×0.84

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%7 of 19×0.75

PPIproducer prices±2.1%5 of 10×0.71

NFPjobs report±2.1%3 of 10×0.69

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%5 of 10×0.65

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%7 of 19×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.40 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.40	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	0.18	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 11 '26 · confirmed	0.56	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 29 '25 · confirmed	0.77	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod