How often does ONE Gas move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

OGSNYSENatural Gas Distribution

ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

79.89

pre 81.00 +1.33%

Pre-market15:59 ETdelayed

Open80.01Volume974,179Mkt cap$5.1BP/E17.16EPS4.72Div yield3.34%

Day80.01 – 81.8355%52-wk70.37 – 89.2756%

OGS

ONE Gas, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

after close · in 105 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.36%

Largest filed tie

—

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.78%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

427 managers

Top fund weight

0.15%

OGS weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

ONE Gas (OGS) is expected to report on Feb 17 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.5%
avg realized: ±1.8%

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±5.6%▼−0.18%×0.03

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±4.2%▲+3.35%×0.80

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±4.0%▲+1.64%×0.41

Nov 3 '25Nov 3 '25confirmed±6.1%▲+0.45%×0.07

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±2.8%▲+1.86%×0.66

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±3.4%▼−2.40%×0.71

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±5.1%▲+2.48%×0.49

Q3 FY26Nov 2 '26confirmed—▲+1.36%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+1.36%—

Q2 FY26±5.1%▲+2.48%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

1.95OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

65−4%

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.98%as filednet margin · revenue −4.94% QoQ · +3.21% YoY

Revenue

$391M−4.94% QoQ

Gross profit

$157M−1.20% QoQ

40.12% margin

Operating income

$77M−6.40% QoQ

19.77% margin

Pre-tax income

$38M−33.04% QoQ

Net income

$31M−33.30% QoQ

7.98% margin

Cost of revenue

$234M−7.29% QoQ

Operating expenses

$80M+4.44% QoQ

Other expense

$39M

Tax

$7M−31.87% QoQ

Revenue$391M−4.94%

Gross profit

$157M−1.20%

40.12% margin

Operating income

$77M−6.40%

19.77% margin

Pre-tax income

$38M−33.04%

Net income

$31M−33.30%

7.98% margin

Cost of revenue

$234M−7.29%

Operating expenses

$80M+4.44%

Other expense

$39M

Tax$7M−31.87%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.29· ±1.3% vs ±1.0% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.3%10 of 24×1.29

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%12 of 19×1.17

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%12 of 19×0.99

PPIproducer prices±0.9%5 of 10×0.92

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%7 of 12×0.89

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%5 of 10×0.79

NFPjobs report±0.7%6 of 10×0.74

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.49 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 2 '26 · confirmed	0.49	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	0.74	—
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	2.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod