How often does Orion move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

OECNYSEMiscellaneous Chemical Products

Orion S.A. (OEC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

5.87

pre 5.88 +6.89%

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open5.50Volume537,502Mkt cap$331.8MEPS-0.56Div yield1.41%

Day5.50 – 5.8998%52-wk4.28 – 8.6137%

OEC

Orion S.A.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 16

after close · in 103 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 4

after close

confirmedNov 4 closethin chain

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.51%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

187 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

OEC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

2 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Orion (OEC) is expected to report on Feb 16 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.2%
avg realized: ±10.8%

Jan 15 '25Jan 15 '25confirmed±1.4%▼−2.25%×1.60

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±7.9%▲+3.34%×0.42

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±13.0%▼−10.69%×0.82

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±12.5%▲+20.09%×1.61

Nov 4 '25Nov 4 '25confirmed±15.8%▼−8.16%×0.52

Feb 17 '26Feb 17 '26confirmed±13.1%▲+13.24%×1.01

Q1 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±14.5%▼−12.68%×0.88

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±19.2%▲+15.85%×0.82

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±19.2%▲+15.85%×0.82

Q1 FY26±14.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Apr 16 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

580%Jan 1571d0.023,0670%0.02

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

40%Apr 16162d1,6630%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1571d580%3,0670%0.02

report · Feb 16 · after close · est.

Apr 16162d40%1,6630%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−0.66%as filednet margin · revenue −5.61% QoQ · +4.86% YoY

Revenue$473M−5.61%

Gross profit$91M19.20%−2.37%

Operating income$23M4.82%+7.04%

Pre-tax income$5M0.00%

Net income−$3M−0.66%−272.22%

Cost of revenue$382M−6.35%

Operating expenses$68M−5.16%

Tax$8M+141.18%

Other expense−$18M−9.20%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.91· ±4.6% vs ±2.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.6%5 of 10×1.91

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%9 of 19×1.14

CPROFcorporate profits±2.7%10 of 12×1.10

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%11 of 19×1.06

PPIproducer prices±2.5%8 of 10×1.03

FOMCrate decision±2.3%9 of 24×0.94

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%6 of 10×0.65

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.05 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	-0.05	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.03	—
Q1 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.18	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod