How often does Northwest Natural Gas move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NWNNYSENatural Gas Distribution

Northwest Natural Gas Co (NWN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

50.43

+0.23 · +0.45%

Regular session10:52 ET

Open50.50Volume271,018Mkt cap$2.1BP/E20.09EPS2.51Div yield3.94%

Day50.43 – 50.500%52-wk43.56 – 54.3863%

NWN

Northwest Natural Holding Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.29%

vs ±6.2% implied · ×0.21

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

6dPOR · customerPortland General Electric posts Q3 net income $119 million, diluted EPS $1.00; adjusted EPS $1.06
40dTSN · supplierTyson Foods Announces Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call and Webcast

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.16%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

318 managers

Top fund weight

0.07%

NWN weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Northwest Natural Gas (NWN) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.8%
avg realized: ±2.4%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±6.1%▲+0.46%×0.08

Feb 28 '25Feb 28 '25confirmed±4.7%▼−0.63%×0.13

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±4.4%▲+0.18%×0.04

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±5.4%▼−1.79%×0.33

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±7.2%▼−1.48%×0.21

Feb 27 '26Feb 27 '26confirmed±3.2%▲+5.51%×1.70

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±9.5%▼−7.67%×0.81

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+1.29%×0.21

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.2%▲+1.29%×0.21

May '26±9.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.25OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

480%Dec 1844d193+9%

710%Mar 19135d0.591210%0.59

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1844d480%193+9%0.25

Mar 19135d710%1210%0.59

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

0.25%as filednet margin · revenue +3.12% YoY

Revenue

$244M

Gross profit

$101M

41.65% margin

Operating income

$33M

13.61% margin

Pre-tax income

$1M

Net income

$600,000

0.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$142M

Operating expenses

$68M

Depreciation $44M

Other operating $21M

SG&A $1M

Other operating $2M

Other expense

$32M

Tax

$610,000

Revenue$244M

Gross profit

$101M

41.65% margin

Operating income

$33M

13.61% margin

Pre-tax income

$1M

Net income

$600,000

0.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$142M

Operating expenses

$68M

Depreciation $44M

Other operating $21M

SG&A $1M

Other expense

$32M

Tax$610,000

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.22· ±1.2% vs ±1.0% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±1.2%10 of 24×1.22

PPIproducer prices±1.1%5 of 10×1.10

NFPjobs report±1.0%6 of 10×0.99

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.9%9 of 19×0.92

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%8 of 19×0.90

CPROFcorporate profits±0.7%5 of 12×0.74

CPIconsumer prices±0.6%4 of 10×0.62

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.01 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.01	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-0.73	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod