How often does NorthWestern Energy move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NWENasdaqElectric & Other Services Combined

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

81.67

−0.33 · −0.41%

Regular session12:30 ET

Open83.33Volume979,736Mkt cap$5.0BP/E29.27EPS2.79Div yield3.26%

Day81.66 – 83.820%52-wk58.35 – 83.0494%

NWE

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

before open · in 98 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 5

confirmedQ3 FY26

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAVA · supplierAvista reports Q3 net income $49 million, GAAP EPS $0.57; affirms $2.52 to $2.72 utility guidance

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.52%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

373 managers

Top fund weight

0.14%

NWE weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

NorthWestern Energy (NWE) is expected to report on Feb 11 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.5%
avg realized: ±1.3%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±7.4%▲+0.67%×0.09

Feb 13 '25Feb 13 '25confirmed±7.4%▼−2.31%×0.31

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±6.8%▼−2.15%×0.32

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±5.1%▲+2.07%×0.41

Oct 30 '25Oct 30 '25confirmed±7.1%▲+0.28%×0.04

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±6.0%▲+0.50%×0.08

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.4%▲+1.40%×0.22

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±6.1%▼−1.25%×0.20

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.1%▼−1.25%×0.20

Q1 FY26±6.4%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.07OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

50%Nov 2015d0.031810%0.03

250%Dec 1843d0.122160%0.12

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

110%Mar 19134d168+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d50%1810%0.03

Dec 1843d250%2160%0.12

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

Mar 19134d110%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.25%as filednet margin · revenue +7.94% QoQ · +9.51% YoY

Revenue

$424M+7.94% QoQ

Gross profit

$232M+3.55% QoQ

54.66% margin

Operating income

$75M+16.15% QoQ

17.61% margin

Pre-tax income

$35M+24.46% QoQ

Net income

$31M+23.00% QoQ

7.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$192M+13.74% QoQ

Operating expenses

$157M−1.52% QoQ

Depreciation $67M

Other operating $50M

SG&A $40M

Other expense

$39M

Tax

$5M+34.97% QoQ

Revenue$424M+7.94%

Gross profit

$232M+3.55%

54.66% margin

Operating income

$75M+16.15%

17.61% margin

Pre-tax income

$35M+24.46%

Net income

$31M+23.00%

7.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$192M+13.74%

Operating expenses

$157M−1.52%

Depreciation $67M

Other operating $50M

SG&A $40M

Other expense

$39M

Tax$5M+34.97%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.45· ±1.5% vs ±1.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±1.5%4 of 10×1.45

PPIproducer prices±1.4%5 of 10×1.35

FOMCrate decision±1.3%10 of 24×1.29

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%9 of 19×1.17

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%11 of 19×0.99

NFPjobs report±0.8%4 of 10×0.84

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%6 of 12×0.78

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.50 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.50	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	0.40	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	1.03	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod