How often does Nkarta move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NKTXNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Nkarta, Inc. (NKTX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.54

+0.02 · +1.28%

post 1.50 −2.57%

Closed18:40 ET

Open1.55Volume726,314Mkt cap$109.6M

Day1.50 – 1.590%52-wk1.48 – 3.721%

NKTX

Nkarta, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 6 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.28%

vs ±25.3% implied · ×0.21

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.73%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

135 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

NKTX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Nkarta (NKTX) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±23.3%
avg realized: ±10.3%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±52.6%▼−2.45%×0.05

Mar 26 '25Mar 26 '25confirmed±32.9%▲+43.80%×1.33

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed±10.5%▼−8.02%×0.77

Aug 12 '25Aug 12 '25confirmed±8.7%▲+12.76%×1.46

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+2.55%×0.24

Q1 FY26Mar 25 '26confirmed±23.7%▲+0.47%×0.02

May 12 '26May 12 '26confirmed±22.2%▼−6.71%×0.30

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±25.3%▼−5.28%×0.21

quarterimplied−55%0+55%realized×

Q2 FY26±25.3%▼−5.28%×0.21

May '26±22.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.08OI · 2 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

542+179%Nov 2017d6,7780%

950%Feb 19108d0.071,310−1%0.07

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d542+179%6,7780%0.08

Feb 19108d950%1,310−1%0.07

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.48· ±6.2% vs ±4.2% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±6.2%5 of 12×1.48

GDPgross domestic product±5.4%9 of 19×1.28

PPIproducer prices±4.3%4 of 10×1.01

NFPjobs report±3.8%6 of 10×0.90

CPIconsumer prices±3.4%4 of 10×0.81

FOMCrate decision±3.2%8 of 24×0.76

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.8%7 of 19×0.66

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±4.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.54 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.54	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 25 '26 · confirmed	-0.37	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.29	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod