How often does National Healthcare move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NHCNYSEServices-Skilled Nursing Care Facilities

National Healthcare Corp (NHC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

207.31

−0.31 · −0.15%

Regular session14:20 ET

Open203.21Volume120,959Mkt cap$3.3BP/E28.13EPS7.37Div yield1.26%

Day202.83 – 207.31100%52-wk120.67 – 248.2068%

NHC

National Healthcare Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 26

before open · in 112 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 6

before open

confirmedNov 5 closethin chain

Implied vs realized

Linked news

30dNHI · supplierNHI Announces Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.64%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

249 managers

Top fund weight

0.08%

NHC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

National Healthcare (NHC) is expected to report on Feb 26 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±4.5%
avg realized: ±3.8%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±3.2%▼−3.78%×1.20

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±5.4%▼−0.17%×0.03

May 9 '25May 9 '25confirmed±4.4%▲+6.21%×1.42

Aug 8 '25Aug 8 '25confirmed±3.3%▲+4.12%×1.23

Nov 7 '25Nov 7 '25confirmed±5.0%▲+1.74%×0.35

Q1 FY26Feb 27 '26confirmed±4.5%▲+2.08%×0.46

May 8 '26May 8 '26confirmed±4.2%▲+10.15%×2.42

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed±5.7%▼−1.97%×0.35

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±5.7%▼−1.97%×0.35

May '26±4.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 5 close

0.27OI · 3 expiries · Nov 5 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

180%Nov 2014d660%

60%Dec 1842d6.0010%6.00

180%Feb 19105d0.101740%0.10

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d180%660%0.27

Dec 1842d60%10%6.00

Feb 19105d180%1740%0.10

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

3.48%as filednet margin · revenue −0.01% QoQ · +6.61% YoY

Revenue

$408M−0.01% QoQ

Gross profit

$156M−6.07% QoQ

38.25% margin

Operating income

$41M−16.97% QoQ

9.96% margin

Pre-tax income

$20M−63.56% QoQ

Net income

$14M−65.02% QoQ

3.48% margin

Cost of revenue

$252M+4.15% QoQ

Operating expenses

$115M−1.52% QoQ

SG&A $99M

Depreciation $15M

Other operating $1M

Other expense

$21M

Tax

$5M−59.19% QoQ

Revenue$408M−0.01%

Gross profit

$156M−6.07%

38.25% margin

Operating income

$41M−16.97%

9.96% margin

Pre-tax income

$20M−63.56%

Net income

$14M−65.02%

3.48% margin

Cost of revenue

$252M+4.15%

Operating expenses

$115M−1.52%

SG&A $99M

Depreciation $15M

Other operating $1M

Other expense

$21M

Tax$5M−59.19%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 14:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.77· ±2.5% vs ±1.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.5%6 of 10×1.77

PPIproducer prices±2.0%5 of 10×1.43

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%7 of 12×1.06

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%10 of 19×0.96

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%8 of 19×0.89

FOMCrate decision±1.3%11 of 24×0.89

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%5 of 10×0.80

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.85 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.85	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	2.54	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 27 '26 · confirmed	2.27	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod