How often does Novagold Resources move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NGNYSEGold and Silver Ores

Novagold Resources Inc (NG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

6.08

+0.33 · +5.65%

post 6.12 +0.74%

After hours17:37 ETdelayed

Open6.12Volume2.8MMkt cap$2.5B

Day6.01 – 6.4029%52-wk5.08 – 14.4011%

Novagold Resources Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 21

before open · in 78 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.26%

vs ±8.3% implied · ×0.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 8 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−4.29%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

248 managers

Top fund weight

0.07%

NG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Novagold Resources (NG) is expected to report on Jan 21 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.4%
avg realized: ±6.1%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±9.3%▼−2.17%×0.23

Apr 1 '25Apr 1 '25confirmed±9.4%▲+2.05%×0.22

Jun 25 '25Jun 25 '25confirmed±10.8%▼−5.13%×0.48

Oct 1 '25Oct 1 '25confirmed±11.3%▲+15.00%×1.33

Jan 22 '26Jan 22 '26confirmed±15.7%▲+5.01%×0.32

Q1 FY26Apr 1 '26confirmed±13.7%▲+4.23%×0.31

Q2 FY26Jun 24 '26confirmed±12.3%▼−14.13%×1.15

Q3 FY26Oct 8 '26confirmed±8.3%▼−1.26%×0.15

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±8.3%▼−1.26%×0.15

Q2 FY26±12.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.41OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,178+1%Nov 2016d0.274,3820%0.27

5,7080%Dec 1844d0.2127,382+1%0.21

report · Jan 21 · before open · est.

6,3550%Mar 19135d15,396−6%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1,178+1%4,3820%0.27

Dec 1844d5,7080%27,382+1%0.21

report · Jan 21 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d6,3550%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.85· ±5.8% vs ±3.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.8%4 of 10×1.85

NFPjobs report±4.9%5 of 10×1.57

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%9 of 19×1.06

FOMCrate decision±3.3%8 of 24×1.05

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.1%9 of 19×0.99

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%7 of 12×0.95

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%5 of 10×0.84

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -80.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 8 '26 · confirmed	-80.00	—
Q2 FY26	Jun 24 '26 · confirmed	-0.06	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 1 '26 · confirmed	-0.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod