How often does New Fortress Energy move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NFENasdaqNatural Gas Distribution

New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

3.78

−0.30 · −7.29%

Regular session12:48 ET

Open4.20Volume389,548Mkt cap$466,156

Day3.78 – 4.200%52-wk3.24 – 875.000%

NFE

New Fortress Energy Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

before open · in 7 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−42.86%

vs ±22.7% implied · ×1.89

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 5 '25 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−9.49%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

145 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

NFE weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

New Fortress Energy (NFE) is expected to report on Nov 12 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.8%
avg realized: ±18.4%

May 8 '24May 8 '24confirmed±10.6%▲+1.42%×0.13

Aug 9 '24Aug 9 '24confirmed±13.1%▼−23.62%×1.80

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±12.3%▼−1.36%×0.11

Jan 28 '25Jan 28 '25confirmed±5.2%▲+3.12%×0.61

Mar 3 '25Mar 3 '25confirmed±11.2%▲+7.85%×0.70

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed±17.3%▼−62.98%×3.65

Jun 18 '25Jun 18 '25confirmed±9.9%▲+3.72%×0.38

Q3 FY25Sep 5 '25confirmed±22.7%▼−42.86%×1.89

quarterimplied−65%0+65%realized×

Q3 FY25±22.7%▼−42.86%×1.89

Jun '25±9.9%▲+3.72%×0.38

May '25±17.3%▼−62.98%×3.65

Mar '25±11.2%▲+7.85%×0.70

Jan '25±5.2%▲+3.12%×0.61

Nov '24±12.3%▼−1.36%×0.11

2 older reports

Aug '24±13.1%▼−23.62%×1.80

May '24±10.6%▲+1.42%×0.13

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.03OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

130−2%Dec 1843d3,9850%

28,2110%Jan 1571d0.6245,7150%0.62

30%Mar 19134d0.001,6860%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1843d130−2%3,9850%0.03

Jan 1571d28,2110%45,7150%0.62

Mar 19134d30%1,6860%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−119.34%as filednet margin · revenue +37.69% QoQ · +2.76% YoY

Revenue$313M+37.69%

Gross profit$61M19.54%+390.87%

Operating income−$149M−47.59%+34.01%

Pre-tax income−$381M−3.21%

Net income−$373M−119.34%+6.90%

Cost of revenue$251M+1.40%

Operating expenses$210M+2.65%

Tax−$8M−125.25%

Other expense−$232M−61.60%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×0.62· ±6.7% vs ±10.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±6.7%5 of 10×0.62

GDPgross domestic product±4.9%9 of 19×0.45

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.9%8 of 19×0.45

CPROFcorporate profits±4.8%8 of 12×0.45

NFPjobs report±4.8%2 of 10×0.45

FOMCrate decision±4.3%9 of 24×0.40

CPIconsumer prices±2.8%5 of 9×0.26

Bar = avg |move| to ±11% · tick = ±10.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±10.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.30 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	—	-1.30	—
Q1 FY26	—	-1.40	—
Q3 FY25	Sep 5 '25 · confirmed	-1.07	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod