How often does Noble move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NENYSEDrilling Oil & Gas Wells

Noble Corp plc (NE) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

41.71

−2.26 · −5.15%

Regular session12:13 ET

Open43.89Volume1.4MMkt cap$7.3BP/E122.67EPS0.34Div yield4.40%

Day41.65 – 44.202%52-wk26.79 – 53.8355%

Noble Corp plc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 10

after close · in 98 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.42%

vs ±9.4% implied · ×0.58

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 26 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4hPBR · customerPetrobras sets 3Q26 results webcast for Nov. 11, 2026
1dXOM · customerExxon Mobil posts 3Q net income of $15,413 million; EPS $3.72
2dSHEL · customerShell buys 735,554 LSE at £40.4974 and 484,146 XAMS at €48.7679 on 30 Oct 2026

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.30%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

373 managers

Top fund weight

0.15%

NE weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Noble (NE) is expected to report on Feb 10 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.4%
avg realized: ±4.6%

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±7.0%▼−0.14%×0.02

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±10.3%▲+7.00%×0.68

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±6.5%▲+2.08%×0.32

Oct 27 '25Oct 27 '25confirmed±10.9%▼−1.54%×0.14

Feb 11 '26Feb 11 '26confirmed±7.6%▼−3.36%×0.44

Q1 FY26Apr 27 '26confirmed±7.9%▲+8.20%×1.04

Q2 FY26Jul 27 '26confirmed±7.6%▼−9.07%×1.19

Q3 FY26Oct 26 '26confirmed±9.4%▼−5.42%×0.58

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.4%▼−5.42%×0.58

Q2 FY26±7.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.13OI · 5 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

157+3%Nov 2016d0.121,287+13%0.12

3,1750%Dec 1844d0.664,8360%0.66

7,5540%Jan 1572d0.5713,3320%0.57

report · Feb 10 · after close · est.

590%Mar 19135d462+1%

420%Apr 16163d0.16256+7%0.16

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d157+3%1,287+13%0.12

Dec 1844d3,1750%4,8360%0.66

Jan 1572d7,5540%13,3320%0.57

report · Feb 10 · after close · est.

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−16.06%as filednet margin · revenue +1.26% QoQ · −8.68% YoY

Revenue$729M+1.26%

Gross profit$228M31.32%−4.62%

Operating income$60M8.24%+97.16%

Pre-tax income$16M+178.57%

Net income−$117M−16.06%−219.01%

Cost of revenue$501M+4.19%

Operating expenses$168M−19.47%

Tax$133M+716.69%

Other expense−$44M+13.38%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.49· ±2.9% vs ±1.9% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.9%5 of 10×1.49

FOMCrate decision±2.3%6 of 24×1.20

CPIconsumer prices±2.0%4 of 10×1.03

PPIproducer prices±1.7%4 of 10×0.88

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%6 of 19×0.63

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%7 of 19×0.54

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%1 of 12×0.40

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.9% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.9% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.73 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 26 '26 · confirmed	-0.73	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 27 '26 · confirmed	-0.23	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 27 '26 · confirmed	0.75	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod