How often does NCR Atleos move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

NATLNYSECalculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers)

NCR Atleos Corp (NATL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

45.81

+0.10 · +0.22%

post 45.81 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open45.92Volume512,180Mkt cap$3.4BP/E17.22EPS2.66

Day45.62 – 45.9656%52-wk33.31 – 48.5082%

NATL

NCR Atleos Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.40%

vs ±9.6% implied · ×0.04

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dINTC · supplierIntel stock plunges 29%. Analysts urge caution on buying the dip
1dMSFT · supplierMicrosoft is winning the cloud wars and becoming Wall Street’s new golden child

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+15.19%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

357 managers

Top fund weight

0.10%

NATL weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

NCR Atleos (NATL) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.6%
avg realized: ±5.6%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±7.4%▲+4.75%×0.64

Mar 3 '25Mar 3 '25confirmed±11.0%▼−3.75%×0.34

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±7.5%▼−6.49%×0.87

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±9.3%▲+15.02%×1.62

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±8.5%▼−7.48%×0.88

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±9.3%▲+5.76%×0.62

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±6.7%▼−1.18%×0.18

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±9.6%▼−0.40%×0.04

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.6%▼−0.40%×0.04

May '26±6.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 1 expiry · Oct 30 close

0.09OI · 1 expiry · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

390%Dec 1847d4390%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1847d390%4390%0.09

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

5.89%as filednet margin · revenue +5.75% QoQ · +0.09% YoY

Revenue

$1.1B+5.75% QoQ

Gross profit

$309M+32.05% QoQ

28.01% margin

Operating income

$156M+85.71% QoQ

14.14% margin

Pre-tax income

$90M+172.73% QoQ

Net income

$65M+195.45% QoQ

5.89% margin

Cost of revenue

$794M−1.85% QoQ

Operating expenses

$153M+2.00% QoQ

SG&A $133M

R&D $20M

Other expense

$66M

Tax

$25M+127.27% QoQ

Revenue$1.1B+5.75%

Gross profit

$309M+32.05%

28.01% margin

Operating income

$156M+85.71%

14.14% margin

Pre-tax income

$90M+172.73%

Net income

$65M+195.45%

5.89% margin

Cost of revenue

$794M−1.85%

Operating expenses

$153M+2.00%

SG&A $133M

R&D $20M

Other expense

$66M

Tax$25M+127.27%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×0.99· ±1.6% vs ±1.7% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%6 of 19×0.99

FOMCrate decision±1.6%12 of 24×0.95

PPIproducer prices±1.3%7 of 10×0.76

CPIconsumer prices±1.0%7 of 10×0.60

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%6 of 19×0.53

CPROFcorporate profits±0.9%5 of 12×0.52

NFPjobs report±0.6%8 of 10×0.37

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.86 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.86	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	0.29	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	0.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod