What move does the options market price into Nakamoto's report?

Implied ±8.4%, either direction.

NAKANasdaqFinance Services

Nakamoto Inc. (NAKA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

5.99

+0.34 · +5.99%

post 6.03 +0.69%

Closed17:50 ET

Open5.66Volume125,288Mkt cap$101.1M

Day5.66 – 6.0888%52-wk3.33 – 34.209%

NAKA

Nakamoto Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.4%implied · report alone

5.526.52

straddle ±20.8%

spot 6.02exp Nov 20ATM strike 6ATM straddle 1.47IV 148%

Nov 4 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 18

after close · in 14 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+2.03%

vs ±15.9% implied · ×0.13

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 14 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

—

Top fund weight

—

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Nakamoto (NAKA) is expected to report on Nov 18 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 14 '26confirmed±15.9%▲+2.03%×0.13

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±15.9%▲+2.03%×0.13

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 close

1.02OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

718+4%Nov 2016d7060%

2380%Dec 1844d0.037,6630%0.03

1730%Mar 19135d0.28610+2%0.28

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d718+4%7060%1.02

Dec 1844d2380%7,6630%0.03

Mar 19135d1730%610+2%0.28

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No linked exposure.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−370.79%as filednet margin · revenue +1239.40% QoQ

Revenue$36M+1239.40%

Gross profit$36M100.00%+1239.40%

Operating income−$149M−415.62%−18.16%

Pre-tax income−$153M+36.08%

Net income−$133M−370.79%+44.30%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$185M+43.54%

Tax−$21M—

Other expense−$4M+96.85%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×0.75· ±5.5% vs ±7.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±5.5%6 of 10×0.75

PPIproducer prices±5.4%5 of 10×0.73

CPROFcorporate profits±5.3%4 of 12×0.71

GDPgross domestic product±5.2%7 of 19×0.70

PCEpersonal income & outlays±5.2%5 of 19×0.70

FOMCrate decision±4.0%7 of 19×0.54

NFPjobs report±3.5%3 of 10×0.47

Bar = avg |move| to ±8% · tick = ±7.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±7.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -6.65 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 14 '26 · confirmed	-6.65	—
Q1 FY26	—	-0.38	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.42	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod