How often does Maxlinear move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MXLNasdaqSemiconductors & Related Devices

Maxlinear, Inc (MXL) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

67.44

−4.17 · −5.82%

post 68.11 +0.99%

Closed19:54 ET

Open65.68Volume2.7MMkt cap$6.1BEPS-0.35

Day63.48 – 68.1499%52-wk12.77 – 128.3048%

MXL

Maxlinear, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 28

after close · in 89 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−2.79%

vs ±24.5% implied · ×0.11

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

13hINTC · supplierIntel stock plunges 29%. Analysts urge caution on buying the dip

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.56%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

437 managers

Top fund weight

0.34%

MXL weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Maxlinear (MXL) is expected to report on Jan 28 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±20.7%
avg realized: ±20.7%

Jan 29 '25Jan 29 '25confirmed±21.0%▼−19.83%×0.95

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±18.5%▼−12.31%×0.67

Jul 23 '25Jul 23 '25confirmed±16.1%▲+12.60%×0.78

Oct 23 '25Oct 23 '25confirmed±18.5%▼−10.84%×0.59

Jan 29 '26Jan 29 '26confirmed±15.3%▼−9.96%×0.65

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±22.4%▲+76.12%×3.40

Q2 FY26Jul 23 '26confirmed±29.5%▼−21.54%×0.73

Q3 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±24.5%▼−2.79%×0.11

quarterimplied−80%0+80%realized×

Q3 FY26±24.5%▼−2.79%×0.11

Q2 FY26±29.5%▼−21.54%×0.73

Q1 FY26±22.4%▲+76.12%×3.40

Jan '26±15.3%▼−9.96%×0.65

Oct '25±18.5%▼−10.84%×0.59

Jul '25±16.1%▲+12.60%×0.78

2 older reports

Apr '25±18.5%▼−12.31%×0.67

Jan '25±21.0%▼−19.83%×0.95

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 close

1.17OI · 4 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6,032+11%Nov 2020d0.659,278+20%0.65

15,655+2%Dec 1848d0.9416,567+17%0.94

4,504+1%Jan 1576d0.706,452+2%0.70

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

1,7260%Mar 19139d1,480+6%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d6,032+11%9,278+20%0.65

Dec 1848d15,655+2%16,567+17%0.94

Jan 1576d4,504+1%6,452+2%0.70

report · Jan 28 · after close · est.

Mar 19139d1,7260%1,480+6%1.17

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

13.25%as filednet margin · revenue +29.14% QoQ · +72.43% YoY

Revenue

$218M+29.14% QoQ

Gross profit

$128M+31.13% QoQ

58.73% margin

Operating income

$30M+822.27% QoQ

13.86% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M+530.08% QoQ

Net income

$29M+1542.16% QoQ

13.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$90M+26.41% QoQ

Operating expenses

$98M−3.93% QoQ

R&D $61M

SG&A $37M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit

$732,000

Revenue$218M+29.14%

Gross profit

$128M+31.13%

58.73% margin

Operating income

$30M+822.27%

13.86% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M+530.08%

Net income

$29M+1542.16%

13.25% margin

Cost of revenue

$90M+26.41%

Operating expenses

$98M−3.93%

R&D $61M

SG&A $37M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit$732,000

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.39· ±8.9% vs ±3.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±8.9%6 of 10×2.39

GDPgross domestic product±5.0%8 of 19×1.34

PPIproducer prices±4.5%3 of 10×1.20

CPIconsumer prices±4.4%7 of 10×1.19

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.3%9 of 19×1.16

FOMCrate decision±4.1%14 of 24×1.09

CPROFcorporate profits±3.7%5 of 12×0.99

Bar = avg |move| to ±9% · tick = ±3.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.30 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	0.30	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 23 '26 · confirmed	0.02	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	-0.52	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod