How often does Microvision move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MVISNasdaqElectronic Components, NEC

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

1.24

−0.05 · −3.83%

Regular session15:49 ET

Open1.27Volume597,671Mkt cap$43.9M

Day1.24 – 1.341%52-wk1.08 – 17.201%

MVIS

Microvision, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 8

after close · in 124 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+10.77%

vs ±19.6% implied · ×0.55

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmedthin chain

Implied vs realized

Linked news

45mMSFT · customerMicrosoft and Amazon combine for a $400 billion market-cap boost — and these factors show why

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−39.78%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

94 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

MVIS weight · VTI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

1 fund

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Microvision (MVIS) is expected to report on Mar 8 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±26.6%
avg realized: ±12.1%

Mar 26 '25Mar 26 '25confirmed±14.0%▼−6.47%×0.46

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±20.4%▼−11.57%×0.57

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±12.1%▼−1.79%×0.15

Q3 FY25Nov 12 '25confirmed±16.2%▼−11.88%×0.73

Q1 FY26Mar 4 '26confirmed±25.0%▼−29.14%×1.17

May 13 '26May 13 '26confirmed±35.6%▼−21.12%×0.59

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±70.0%▲+3.83%×0.05

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±19.6%thin chain▲+10.77%×0.55

quarterimplied−75%0+75%realized×

Q3 FY26±19.6%▲+10.77%×0.55

Q2 FY26±70.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.06OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · nearest expiry

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

16+23%Nov 62d277+9%

565+3%Nov 2016d0.115,2490%0.11

1,0940%Jan 1572d0.0184,1720%0.01

2650%Feb 19107d0.112,3880%0.11

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d16+23%277+9%0.06

Nov 2016d565+3%5,2490%0.11

Jan 1572d1,0940%84,1720%0.01

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−509.50%as filednet margin · revenue +62.93% QoQ · +895.85% YoY

Revenue$2M+62.93%

Gross profit$1M49.96%+86.76%

Operating income−$21M−889.04%+11.87%

Pre-tax income−$12M+66.83%

Net income−$12M−509.50%+66.90%

Cost of revenue$1M+44.52%

Operating expenses$23M−9.32%

Tax$33,000−81.77%

Other income$9M+172.84%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.52· ±6.3% vs ±4.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±6.3%6 of 10×1.52

PPIproducer prices±6.0%2 of 10×1.44

NFPjobs report±4.8%4 of 10×1.17

FOMCrate decision±3.7%10 of 24×0.90

CPROFcorporate profits±3.1%6 of 12×0.74

GDPgross domestic product±3.0%11 of 19×0.73

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.5%11 of 19×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±4.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.45 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	-0.45	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-1.66	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.08	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 12 '25 · confirmed	-0.05	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod