MSMNYSEWholesale-Industrial Machinery & Equipment

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

120.81

pre 120.99 −1.57%

Pre-market17:06 ETdelayed

Open122.64Volume741,960Mkt cap$6.8BP/E30.32EPS3.99Div yield2.88%

Day120.44 – 122.7424%52-wk76.68 – 133.9577%

MSM

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 6

before open · in 65 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−15.35%

vs ±6.8% implied · ×2.27

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 22 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.64%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

478 managers

Top fund weight

0.15%

MSM weight · MDY

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) is expected to report on Jan 6 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q4 FY26Oct 22 '26confirmed±6.8%▼−15.35%×2.27

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q4 FY26±6.8%▼−15.35%×2.27

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.16OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,226−47%Nov 2018d0.651,893+18%0.65

140+23%Dec 1846d0.21652+3%0.21

report · Jan 6 · before open · est.

42+14%Mar 19137d262+42%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d1,226−47%1,893+18%0.65

Dec 1846d140+23%652+3%0.21

report · Jan 6 · before open · est.

Mar 19137d42+14%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

4.44%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +3.06% QoQ · +10.32% YoY

Revenue

$1.1B+3.06% QoQ

Gross profit

$439M+1.90% QoQ

40.64% margin

Operating income

$73M−31.81% QoQ

6.75% margin

Pre-tax income

$64M−38.35% QoQ

Net income

$48M−39.09% QoQ

4.44% margin

Cost of revenue

$641M+3.88% QoQ

Operating expenses

$366M+13.02% QoQ

Other expense

$9M

Tax

$16M−36.06% QoQ

Revenue$1.1B+3.06%

Gross profit

$439M+1.90%

40.64% margin

Operating income

$73M−31.81%

6.75% margin

Pre-tax income

$64M−38.35%

Net income

$48M−39.09%

4.44% margin

Cost of revenue

$641M+3.88%

Operating expenses

$366M+13.02%

Other expense

$9M

Tax$16M−36.06%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Aug 29 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPROF ×1.09· ±1.4% vs ±1.3% · 12 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%8 of 12×1.09

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%11 of 19×1.03

FOMCrate decision±1.2%8 of 24×0.94

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%12 of 19×0.92

NFPjobs report±0.9%5 of 10×0.74

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%7 of 11×0.70

PPIproducer prices±0.8%7 of 11×0.65

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.85 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Oct 22 '26 · confirmed	0.85	—
Q3 FY26	—	1.44	—
Q2 FY26	—	0.76	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod